Brussels 5k is being paced for 12:45. I predict Fisher will run 12:46.79. What does everyone else think?

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1 year ago 08/31/2022 8:31am EDT

Predictions?

LRC Note. We merged two threads into 1. The 1st thread was titled, "Prediction…Fisher will run 12:46.79. What does everyone else think?" The 2nd one was "Brussels men's 5k is being paced at 12:45 pace...does Fisher get the AR?"

Here is the pacing info that Jonathan Gault got from one of the agents.

Pace is supposed to be as follows. Not sure why it's not even splits...
1000: 2:34
2000: 5:05
3000: 7:39
7:39 is 12:45 pace. Does Fisher go with it and does he get the AR?
AR is 12:53.60 by Bernard Lagat. Fisher's pb is 12:53.73 from February.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 8:50am EDT

re: michiganrunner55

This post was removed.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 8:58am EDT

re: michiganrunner55

michiganrunner55 wrote:
Predictions?

What are you babbling on about? Predictions? Good grief!

1 year ago 08/31/2022 1:34pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

I'm simply hoping that Fisher does what he does best - force the pace with 3-4 laps to go and KILL IT.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 1:44pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

1 year ago 08/31/2022 1:45pm EDT

re: femurboy69

1 year ago 08/31/2022 1:45pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

1 year ago 08/31/2022 2:20pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

1 year ago 08/31/2022 2:40pm EDT

re: tarckstar

Within 3 seconds of 13:00 in either direction.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 2:45pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

This won't be a fast race. It's the end of the season, there's no incentive to run fast to make a national team as there was in the earlier DL 5ks that went out quickly. The only hope for this going sub-13 is if Klecker and Fisher agree to work together for 4k. Both have stated goals of running sub-13 this season so that's their incentive. If they do that, they'll probably just drag someone like Krop or Kejelcha to the win, but they will have a chance of achieving their time goals.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 2:59pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

I think he’ll run around 13 flat, maybe a little under, and finish near the front of the race. Even with a field this good I don’t see the winning time being super fast. Hopefully I’m wrong and someone is willing to push the pace.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 3:05pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

12:48.8, unless it goes out really slow.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 3:11pm EDT

re: speed guy

speed guy wrote:
Within 3 seconds of 13:00 in either direction.

Would be my guess. They go out at 13:00, have a couple slow laps, and kick it in hard. I also wonder if he is a bit past his peak..

1 year ago 08/31/2022 3:43pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

The probability that you are right is less than Plank’s constant in SI units treated as a fraction.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 3:57pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

12:56. But, he will return to the Boston University Trampoline and Tennis Center in January or February of 2023 and run 12:45.

1 year ago 08/31/2022 4:14pm EDT

re: Finance Bro

If he can hang on to Thierry, he can run 12:45 tomorrow! They are planning to make it very fast!

1 year ago 08/31/2022 5:35pm EDT

re: michiganrunner55

1 year ago 08/31/2022 6:34pm EDT

re: High hopes

High hopes wrote:
This won't be a fast race. It's the end of the season, there's no incentive to run fast to make a national team as there was in the earlier DL 5ks that went out quickly. The only hope for this going sub-13 is if Klecker and Fisher agree to work together for 4k. Both have stated goals of running sub-13 this season so that's their incentive. If they do that, they'll probably just drag someone like Krop or Kejelcha to the win, but they will have a chance of achieving their time goals.

You really think Jerry is going to put in Fisher without any sort of plan? I almost guarantee that there will be pacing lights and a pacer for a good portion of the race. BTC’s top athletes don’t just race to race.

On a bad day, Fisher goes 12:59, on a good day 12:47

1 year ago 08/31/2022 6:48pm EDT

re: @TheRunningEffect

@TheRunningEffect wrote:
High hopes wrote:
This won't be a fast race. It's the end of the season, there's no incentive to run fast to make a national team as there was in the earlier DL 5ks that went out quickly. The only hope for this going sub-13 is if Klecker and Fisher agree to work together for 4k. Both have stated goals of running sub-13 this season so that's their incentive. If they do that, they'll probably just drag someone like Krop or Kejelcha to the win, but they will have a chance of achieving their time goals.
You really think Jerry is going to put in Fisher without any sort of plan? I almost guarantee that there will be pacing lights and a pacer for a good portion of the race. BTC’s top athletes don’t just race to race.
On a bad day, Fisher goes 12:59, on a good day 12:47

I also bet Woody paces for 3 to 4 K

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Brussels 5k is being paced for 12:45. I predict Fisher will run 12:46.79. What does everyone else think?

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