Yes, you are right. Ethan Strand 3:48.x at BU is beating Nuguse, put Nuguse any day, same fractions same track? Please, please get a fundamental understanding of how this works? Strand as wonderful as he is is not beating Nuguse at any distance.
If we are going with satisfying numbers, why not go all out?
Kessler in 3:45.67.
As the biggest Kessler shill ever on here, I don't think that is happening. That's been discussed. The talent is no different, the training surely is, he was in a really good spot last week and could not punch down a sub 29 flat even. It was not a horrific result and not a distance that I believe he cannot carry, but it looked flat. I try to call it like I see it most of the time. 1:43.x twice and 3:29.x does not go away, second race off new program? I would be impressed with anything under or at 3:50. The Armory is not BU, by a bit? I think most agree. Why you might say, you are making excuses. It's a shift built for the long haul, sometimes it looks sideways. I will be there tomorrow first Millrose in 22 years.
Certainly a fair assessment. I don't know much about his change in training, but I really wouldn't be shocked with a pretty wide range of results. Perhaps he hasn't nailed his race lead-up just yet? If that is the case, I could see him showing much better fitness this week.
I don't have any intel on how fast of a race Kerr and Nuguse may be ready for, but I imagine somewhere between 3:45.5-3:47.5 in the right race.
And as far as BU vs Armory, I agree that BU may be at least a second faster over a mile.
I don't know much about the pros these days. Is that Banister guy that broke 4 still a pro? I'll go with him if he is. If not I can't name anyone other than Bolt who I don't think runs miles
Yes, you are right. Ethan Strand 3:48.x at BU is beating Nuguse, put Nuguse any day, same fractions same track? Please, please get a fundamental understanding of how this works? Strand as wonderful as he is is not beating Nuguse at any distance.
Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think that Strand will win or is better than the first couple of runners, just trying to win the contest.
Yes, you are right. Ethan Strand 3:48.x at BU is beating Nuguse, put Nuguse any day, same fractions same track? Please, please get a fundamental understanding of how this works? Strand as wonderful as he is is not beating Nuguse at any distance.
Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think that Strand will win or is better than the first couple of runners, just trying to win the contest.
You would be better served by picking someone who’s in the race.
Six months ago, this would have been a ridiculous prediction. But the other OAC guys have only looked so-so in 2025 (perhaps not a great sign for Nuguse) and Coscoran has looked the best of the rest in 2025. I’d still lean Nuguse, because he’s the most talented of the bunch, but with Kerr a scratch, Coscoran has a real shot.
