The "stay-at-home economy" will be permanent. Invest accordingly.

Baloney. Look I'm not a deiner. This virus is a very serious thing. It's going to affect our lives in a very major way for quite some time. However, unless the virus mutates drastically, or unless our immunity is only shorted lives, and if we can not develop a vaccine, then this virus will pass. Be it 8 months, 18 months, or 24 months. Eventually we'll have enough immunity that is will just pass.

There is not evidence right now, other than FUD, that immunity is too short lived and the virus is mutating too quickly. Eventually herd immunity kicks in and the virus dies out.

Once this is gone, people will go back to going to restaurants, flying, shopping in malls. It will accelerate technologies to work at home and do lots of other stuff more efficiently. At least it should.

I am a high school teacher, too. Despite the tech tools, online learning is inferior to real classroom education. I am making creative lesson plans, interacting with video chat, yadda yadda...I think I am actually doing a good job with the tools I have, but the experience for me and for the students leaves out a lot. There is a synergy of being in a classroom together that can't be replicated at home. Socialization and the back-and-forth of real, face to face conversations are important.

I for one hope that this experiment does the opposite and pushes the education community further from online learning. Too many consultants and education companies are invested in selling tech products without actually being in the classroom with kids. They are pushing a false narrative of technological superiority. The curtain is being pulled back on that, so let's see what we find out.

Wigins Bad wrote:

Warren Buffet's advisor wrote:

Let's move past the idea that this is a "temporary" shut-down with and end date and accept the fact that the "stay-at-home economy" is the future. Invest accordingly.

Amazon, Slack, Zoom. Short commercial real estate holders and REITs, if possible.

I owned a couple REITs before this started (NLY-PD and SCM). Took an absolute nosedive. SCM is down like 80%. Good buy for someone else. I've lost like $80k this month, though. FML.

It's a centrally planned economic future for the next few years at least, unless all the people who've been brainwashed by the media come to their senses

beware the airlines wrote: You could attract teachers who don't want to put up with the classroom management issues they'd have to deal with in many inner-city public schools.

I teach in a public school of mostly affluent kids, and classroom management issues are plenty. According to several FB groups I’m a member of, these issues are rampant everywhere. I’m honestly not sad that school will be on-line for the rest of the year, and I’m pretty sure I’m not the only one. If I could get a job doing this after the pandemic, and still get paid what I do now (I live in Canada and get paid very well) then I would.

here we stay wrote:

Things that could no more from now on...

Cyber Schooling (preschool - college)

No more office buildings

No more gyms

No more restaurants

No more entertainment venues

No more brick and mortar stores

I would say invest in anything related to...

Cyber education

Cyber office work

Home fitness

Home cooking

Home entertainment

Online shopping

Unfortunately the MLM beach body “coaches” are out in force online because this is their golden opportunity to hawk their services with everyone stuck at home without a gym.

Walmart

Grocery store chains

Any “essential” business that also benefits from substitutes not being deemed “essential”

Interesting point about the airlines.

One problem with the online schooling for kids is that some get their main (only) meals at school, and school may be their sanctuary away from a crappy home life.

I am surprised that the current crisis is the first time that you are using technology to avoid traveling to hearings. In California we have used CourtCall for at least 15+ years. Very low tech, just a phone line into the courtroom.

Online interaction is limited almost to a few chat questions in live streaming classes and attendance has dropped by 1/3 to 40%. Assignment completion in lieu of quizzes has fallen by 25% so far. Comprehension of the reading was very limited in those assignments, despite my giving them powerpoints with audio on the relevant reading. This is no sustainable quality model for education.

1ub2run wrote:

We will have a preventive vaccine in 10 months. After world is medicated, we will open up.

It’s a mRNA virus. Very simple. Not hard to make.

10 vaccines in pipeline in USA. 36 across world.

ONE of them is bound to work.. no?

They already made vaccines. Testing and approval takes a long time. Finishing the vaccine takes a few days. Testing takes more than a year. Politics for approval takes twice as long.

berkshire wrote:

Homeschooled kids almost universally miss important social skills. I like the natural forces. Some things that can go remote will, and toxic bullies will end up left out. Social things people like and generate good work will stay.

I hear people say this all time but homeschooled kids are some of the nicest people I’ve ever met. If not being in a school building makes you nicer than I say go for it. Rate now the biggest issue in education is ridiculous bad behavior. I mean kids attacking teachers and other students on a regular basis. I know because I’ve worked K-12 in both public and private, rich and poor, urban and rural schools. There are other outlets for social skill development. Like club sports, musical groups, religious groups... Going to school and watching chaos all around you is not developing any “social skill.”

They are horrendously bad at so many pragmatic social skills. Extremely lame, too.

Absolutely no one should care if you think they are nice in exchange for essential skills for them to fit in and compete socially. Why not lobotomize the kids so they all act "nice" to you?

Boomers ought to all live under house arrest. They have the most dangerous idiotic ideas.

The US has enough sedentary, obese, diabetic, unhealthy people already. Creating millions more is going to SOLVE a public health problem? NO.

Warren Buffett is a 90 year old man terrified of catching a cold, just every other 90 year old, because it might kill him of pneumonia. He wants everyone to stay home. He is so rich and famous he thinks he can remake the world to suit his personal needs, just like Soros.

You can't categorize all home schooled kids the same. Some are very social and well adjusted, others are incredibly anti-social. Anecdotally, I've found home schooled kids are more like their parents than kids that attend regular schools, which intuitively does make sense. So if the parents are normal, the kids are typically normal. If the parents are super weird, the kids are typically super weird. This has been my observation.

Yes, lets all submit to this so the fat, smoking, boozing Grandmas can stick around until the Cubs win another world series or the next pass Haley's Comet, whichever comes first.

Here ya go -

https://banned.video/watch?id=5e862ca4df3a610025208454

Canada Girl wrote:

beware the airlines wrote: You could attract teachers who don't want to put up with the classroom management issues they'd have to deal with in many inner-city public schools.

I teach in a public school of mostly affluent kids, and classroom management issues are plenty. According to several FB groups I’m a member of, these issues are rampant everywhere. I’m honestly not sad that school will be on-line for the rest of the year, and I’m pretty sure I’m not the only one. If I could get a job doing this after the pandemic, and still get paid what I do now (I live in Canada and get paid very well) then I would.

I’m curious what these classroom management problems are, whether phones are allowed in school, and whether you leverage other technology. Anyone who is considering full online learning and work-from-home scenarios needs to consider whether the work they are doing is truly of value and philosophically what is their purpose/what they see as the point of life. To me, through it all, the point of life is other people.

And yes, I believe there are those who are just fine working from home (I know some of these people), but I despise it (and know many like me). I want home for home not a place to be doing work (and yes I have violated this in the past and it is necessitated in the present).

If anything, this experience should run the risk of pushing many towards socialism.

Warren Buffet's advisor wrote:

Let's move past the idea that this is a "temporary" shut-down with and end date and accept the fact that the "stay-at-home economy" is the future. Invest accordingly.

Prepubescent Ukrainian girls are seeking sad boys.