rojo wrote:
Sam Man wrote:
The big winner last night was Trump. The Dems looked petty, childish, and too focused on insignificant issues. The moderators lost control of the debate early on, and nobody walked away looking presidential.
That's a good point. I turned it on expecting to be excited to see what was going on but the part I saw they moderator couldn't control it and there were too many people trying to raise their hand to make some big point to try to become relevant again.
So I turned it off.
Primary debates are long forgotten by the general election. The Republican primary debates in 2016 were a total dumpster fire with everyone trading insults and trying to pander to the hard right wing of the party. Anyone who was a centrist/independent voter who turned on the Republican primary back in 2016 would have turned it off within 15 minutes.
Primaries are all about finding out where the base of the party is going. In 2016, all the pundits thought that the Republicans had to move to the center and take a dovish stance on immigration and other issues to win over growing minority populations. The Republican primary showed that the base was 100% moving in the other direction.
The Democrat primary is following a similar path. The pundit class and DNC think that the party has to win the center in order to beat Trump. But the base of the party is moving very quickly to the left and Bernie Sanders. Had Bloomberg not been such a complete lizard of a human being and Biden been fifteen years younger, there would have been a chance to have a close competition with Bernie by consolidating the centrist Democrats in Biden or Bloomberg. But Bloomberg was horrible, even by Bloomberg standards. Pete and Klobuchar have no traction outside of college educated PMC voters. Bernie has reinvigorated the working class base of the party and is making big gains with minorities as Biden fades and Bloomberg wrecks. Absent a shocking result for Biden or Bloomberg, Bernie should win and may even have a majority of delegates by the convention.