As of right now, I am the second best runner in my league with a 5k of 16:36. I did not run the race very intelligently (too fast in the first two miles, also my third race in the same week) and the kid who is currently in first for our league ran a 16:08 at the same race and I believe that it was his second race in the same week. Do I have a chance of beating him by the end of the season if I pace off of him?