With the pacer for the men's slated to go through 1k in 2:17 and Genzebe in the women's, fresh off claiming 3:54 last week was comfortable... what do you think we'll see for times and placing today? Here are mine:
Men:
1. Makhdaddy 3:28 low
2. Kiprop 3:28 mid
3. Mo 3:29 low
4. Willis 3:30 low
5. Centro 3:30 mid
Women:
1. Genzebe 3:52
2. Hassan 3:55 high
3. Jenny 3:56 high (AR)
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- Monaco 1500 prediction thread
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Old Man Winter
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Are they predicting a tailwind in both directions??? Pretty lofty times there. Took a 1/2 day from work, really looking forward to it...
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Old Man Winter
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1. Kiprop 3:29.41
2. Mo 3:30.05
3. Jakir 3:30.07
4. Iguider 3:30.45
5. Willis 3:30.82
8. Manzano 3:33.31
9. Centro 3:34.09
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to The Dingo
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Centro's 1:49 and Kiprop's "I'm only at 70%" have me worried. Frankly, a 2:17 1k pacer has me worried. 2:19 and 27-28 would be just fine to have them very close to world record pace, with 1200m in 2:46-7 and then still something left to kick in 40-41 (39 if in shape to go after El G's time). If the pace is too hot, no one might go with it. The whole key is to get through through 1200m close to 2:46. Even 2:49 and a good kick would be sufficient to see a bunch of sub 3:30s, and that's what I'm expecting. Maybe no 3:27 this time out but 3:28s and 3:29s from Kiprop (1), Makh Daddy (2), Farah (3) (is Kwemoi not there?), and if the 1:49 was an aberration, we might see Centro as well as Willis and Iguider there as well, just under 3:30.
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Old Man Winter
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Dibaba in 3:53, Simpson 3:55 AR, Hassan 3:57.
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to jjjjjj
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yes
jjjjjj wrote:Centro's 1:49 and Kiprop's "I'm only at 70%" have me worried
that is why i'm shocked he ran in meaningless kenyan champs, winning in 1'45+
it weren't the trials & he has wildcard to peking as reigning 1500 champ
i have no idea why he bothered running in nairobi when he always likes to give himself a fully preped shot at a fast 1500 in monaco
in his bowerman form i reckoned he coud definitely have gone 3'26+ if a "perfect race"
now that maybe more like 3'28/3'29 if this "70%" stuff is accurate
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to jjjjjj
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The 1k pacer's 800 pr is 1:46. It'll be a miracle if he hits 2:17. 2:20 would be solid, but my guess is he doesn't make it to 1k.
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to jjjjjj
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Don't get my hopes up...
jjjjjj wrote:
Dibaba in 3:53, Simpson 3:55 AR, Hassan 3:57.
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to The Dingo
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LOL
The Dingo wrote:
3. Jakir 3:30.07
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Old Man Winter
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Dibabi is making a huge mistake if she tries to go any faster from the start. If she thought the last race was easy, then she needs to make up the time in the middle laps this time. If she goes hard look for the leaders to fade to 3:56+. Hassan could easily run her down from behind in that kind of race.
Kiprop doesn't win this one. I'm not sure the pacers can even keep on pace. Mak daddy won't run from the front unless coach told him the same thing as Dibaba going into this race. Mo surely wants a fast time, but is he willing to do it if it means leading? I don't see anyone beating 3:28 this time.
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Old Man Winter
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What time is the 1500m? I'm at work eagerly anticipating results ..
Old Man Winter wrote:
With the pacer for the men's slated to go through 1k in 2:17 and Genzebe in the women's, fresh off claiming 3:54 last week was comfortable... what do you think we'll see for times and placing today? Here are mine:
Men:
1. Makhdaddy 3:28 low
2. Kiprop 3:28 mid
3. Mo 3:29 low
4. Willis 3:30 low
5. Centro 3:30 mid
Women:
1. Genzebe 3:52
2. Hassan 3:55 high
3. Jenny 3:56 high (AR)
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Old Man Winter
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1. Iguider 3:29.34
2. Makhloufi 3:29.56
3. Willis 3:30.22
4. Centrowitz 3:30.67
5. Manzano 3:31.88
DNF: Farah, Kiprop
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Naveman
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No one will go with the rabbits and this one will be another 3:31.xx race.
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to GMT-8
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Your best bud
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Someone posting splits/updates in this thread?
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to Seeker of updates
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3:26.69 for kiprop WOW!
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to ventolin^3
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So when are we giving Ventolin credit where credit is due? 3:26 in a "perfect race". Kiprop obviously used this 70% talk to make the competition less intimidated and underestimate him. As usual, Ventolin is right.
ventolin^3 wrote:jjjjjj wrote:Centro's 1:49 and Kiprop's "I'm only at 70%" have me worried
yes
that is why i'm shocked he ran in meaningless kenyan champs, winning in 1'45+
it weren't the trials & he has wildcard to peking as reigning 1500 champ
i have no idea why he bothered running in nairobi when he always likes to give himself a fully preped shot at a fast 1500 in monaco
in his bowerman form i reckoned he coud definitely have gone 3'26+ if a "perfect race"
now that maybe more like 3'28/3'29 if this "70%" stuff is accurate
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- RE: Monaco 1500 prediction thread - in reply to So...
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thank you
So... wrote:So when are we giving Ventolin credit where credit is due? 3:26 in a "perfect race". Kiprop obviously used this 70% talk to make the competition less intimidated and underestimate him. As usual, Ventolin is right.
i post what i see as realistic &/or likely to best of my ability
nothing more
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