Kipketer even pace 800 prediction

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9 years ago 07/27/2014 6:27pm EDT

I don't know what it is with this guy and going out so suicidally fast but I guess it paid off today.

POS BIB ATHLETE COUNTRY MARK

1 972 Alfred KIPKETER KENKEN 1:43.95 WJL

2 979 Joshua Tiampati MASIKONDE KENKEN 1:45.14 PB

3 1383 Andreas ALMGREN SWESWE 1:45.65 NJR

4 277 Thiago ANDRÈ BRABRA 1:46.06 PB

5 565 Jena UMAR ETHETH 1:46.23 PB

6 1543 Tre'tez KINNAIRD USAUSA 1:47.13 PB

7 1385 Kalle BERGLUND SWESWE 1:47.31 PB

8 661 Kyle LANGFORD GBRGBR 1:55.21

Splits for Kipketer were something along the lines of 49.4-54.5.

He does this in every race he runs (Last year's World Youth 800 was particularly ridiculous) and it's been pretty well proven that the best way to run a fast time is with relatively even splits

So what could this guy do off of an even pace? Could he post back to back 51 lows and run sub 1:43? I don't think it's all that out of the question.

Thoughts?

*Also should be noted, it may not have been all that ridiculous of an opener for the rest of the field since other than one competitor the entire field set new personal bests in this race. Kipketer should be expecting quite a few flower deliveries to his hotel room later today.

9 years ago 07/27/2014 6:31pm EDT

re: At

If the kid ever learned how to run a freaking 800 he could run some blazing times

Sub 1:43 for sure

9 years ago 07/27/2014 6:43pm EDT

re: Fast Kenyans

Kip sure does make races interesting.

Bahamas is a case in point.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KmDdcIPqfL0

9 years ago 07/27/2014 6:44pm EDT

re: Fast Kenyans

From the previous thread it stated that at the 200 Kipketer was about 23.6, and the IAAF website has his 400 at 49.58 I think (top lazy to recheck).

Considering he went out comparable to how Rudisha went out in his WR run, obviously I think anyone who says Kipketer can't run faster with better splits is foolish. I think something along the lines of 24.7 -> 50.4 -> 52.5 (+2 sec positive split seems like a good rule of thumb for a guy who has consistently ran suicidal splits) would mean a 1:42.9.

That's good for about a second which I think is manageable.

What a talent. Surely he must be set on that WR in a couple of years. It seems like he is getting his body used to opening up in 49 (bringing that 2nd lap from 60 to 54 off that lace in a year). Something to watch for in the next couple years if he remains healthy and continues his growth as a runner.

9 years ago 07/27/2014 6:47pm EDT

re: Fredo Santana

I was too* lazy to recheck and now I did. 49.42 for 400. Holy cow.

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