A statistical approach to Usain Bolt's times.

I think Bolt needs to do all of his running on the crete.

Sure you can do math, but can you run?

Sprinters can't do distance events.

Plus your math sucks

My math is all correct. Take the difference, multiply by the factor of the increase in distance.

Its running. Use your math to represent actual running not made up running that you made up in your retarded head.

HOLY F--KING SH-T!

mathamatician wrote:

Ok, bolt can run a 19.30 200m.

Michael Johnson ran a 19.32 and a 43.18 400.

By pure mathematics Bolt should run 43.14.

Coe ran a 46.87 400m and a 1:41.73 800m.

By pure mathematics Bolt should run 1:34.27.

El Guerrouj ran 1:42.7 800m and 3:26.00 for the 1500m

By pure mathematics Bolt should run 3:09.14

Bekele has run 3:32.35 for the 1500m and 26:17.53 for the 10000m. By pure mathematics Bolt should run 23:43 (rounded).

There you have it, done purely mathematically. What do you all think?

I know, it surprised me too, but math does not lie....

So what if you do it backwards whats Bolts time then.

Um, you can't do it backwards.... think about it. You could work down to find Bekele's 100m time. But you can't work down to find Usain's time. Good try tough.

I realize that you're kidding with the "math" that you used, but what would be the more realistically predicted times if you took the drop off in times from 100m to 200m personal bests of Bolt and MJ in consideration?

For instance, you might see that Bolt does not have as much stamina as Michael Johnson, so his dropoffs would be more and more as the distance got longer.

Do you think Bolt might run so fast that he could break right through to...the future?

Whoevers then the mathematical time.

run around some wrote:

I realize that you're kidding with the "math" that you used, but what would be the more realistically predicted times if you took the drop off in times from 100m to 200m personal bests of Bolt and MJ in consideration?

For instance, you might see that Bolt does not have as much stamina as Michael Johnson, so his dropoffs would be more and more as the distance got longer.

Hmm true. I should develop a "stamina rating" for each athlete. And that gets factored into their predicted time. Bolt still would probably run like 25:00 in the 20k though.

The big difference is at 400m. It seems no one competes distances on both sides of 400m.

So Wariner can't run 1:39.4?

What is his 800m PR.

mathamatician wrote:

Ok, bolt can run a 19.30 200m.

Michael Johnson ran a 19.32 and a 43.18 400.

By pure mathematics Bolt should run 43.14.

Coe ran a 46.87 400m and a 1:41.73 800m.

By pure mathematics Bolt should run 1:34.27.

El Guerrouj ran 1:42.7 800m and 3:26.00 for the 1500m

By pure mathematics Bolt should run 3:09.14

Bekele has run 3:32.35 for the 1500m and 26:17.53 for the 10000m. By pure mathematics Bolt should run 23:43 (rounded).

There you have it, done purely mathematically. What do you all think?

With math like that you must be Barack Obama?

faulty premise. You calculation assumes a 1:1 correlation of talent between the runners of the different disciplines and then ascribes that to Bolt. Cute, but off by a mile (full mile that is). The math is right by your design parameters, but your premise is enormously flawed.

Plus, show me a result of El Geurrouj running a 1:42.7 800m. It doesn\'t exist. Because it didn\'t happen.

Blind Eye wrote:

faulty premise. You calculation assumes a 1:1 correlation of talent between the runners of the different disciplines and then ascribes that to Bolt. Cute, but off by a mile (full mile that is). The math is right by your design parameters, but your premise is enormously flawed.

His premise is FLAWED?! Oh, thank you so much for pointing that out! None of us would have had any idea if it wasn't for YOU! I used to think everyone here on letsrun was an idiot, but you have PROVED ME WRONG!