How do you guys think Rupp will do in this matchup? I think it'll go Mottram, Bekele, Willis, Rupp. I think Rupp will run under 8:00, but his PR is 7:49- I guess he could run that, but I don't think he will as he will probably just be focusing on competing and the winning time will probably be mid 7:40's and Rupp will be left wiping Mottram's sweat off his face as it flies back onto him.
I'll be there to see it in person! My apartment is a 10 minute jog from Reggie Lewis :-)
As for the race, I have to agree on your Rupp prediction. I might put him above Willis, though, because of the distance. Although anything is possible, especially if the pace is fast, I don't see Rupp ready to beat Mottram or Bekele. If the pace gets too slow, I'll look for Willis to win on a wicked 800m kick.
salazar throws this kid in races to get him experience. did the same thing in europe summer before last. he won't be in shape to hang with those three. what did mcdougal run in that 5k? estimate from that accounting for competition.
Didn't Rupp just have plica surgery? Crazy how these pros can get back into the game so quickly.
There is no way Willis will lose to Rupp.
Bekele, Willis, Mottram, Rupp...if they are the only 4 in the race...if not, I bet Rupp isn't 4th.
boston dude wrote:
As for the race, I have to agree on your Rupp prediction. I might put him above Willis, though, because of the distance. Although anything is possible, especially if the pace is fast, I don't see Rupp ready to beat Mottram or Bekele. If the pace gets too slow, I'll look for Willis to win on a wicked 800m kick.
I'm not sayign i think willis will win...as he's had a lot of injuries.....but what about the distance? 3k??? Willis went 744 several years ago to break the collegiate record before Cragg retook it. He also went 1327 in mid form while training for hte olympics in 2004. I'm not sure how it being 3k gives rupp some huge advantage?
mrr82 wrote:
I'm not sure how it being 3k gives rupp some huge advantage?
Totally agreeing with you Mrr82.
this forum is full of Rupp haters, someday he gone show y'all up. He's the most talented distance track runner we've ever produced!!!! Is that too bold???
Beaverton wrote:
this forum is full of Rupp haters, someday he gone show y'all up. He's the most talented distance track runner we've ever produced!!!! Is that too bold???
rupp just had surgery on his knee.
his 1500m pr is 3:45.
nobody is hating; everyone is being pretty realistic.
Yeah, but that 1500 pr is from high school. The kid ran a 4:01 full mile that year as well.
WTF is a full mile? A mile is a mile, not a full mile.
mrr82 wrote:
I'm not sayign i think willis will win...as he's had a lot of injuries.....but what about the distance? 3k??? Willis went 744 several years ago to break the collegiate record before Cragg retook it. He also went 1327 in mid form while training for hte olympics in 2004. I'm not sure how it being 3k gives rupp some huge advantage?
I didn't realize Willis had that sort of range. I knew him primarily as an 800m/1500m runner who was still very fast at longer distances, but I didn't realize he was 7:44 fast. For what it's worth (which isn't much), I'll bump him above Rupp in my oh-so-important prediction after learning that tidbit. Accounting for WC's though, I think I'd also like to revise my original prediction and pick Bekele to win. It's always close between him and Mottram, but I think the indoor track gives the advantage to the smaller man and also Mottram isn't too far removed from some serious disappointments.
It is also summer time in Australia right now, so I would say Mottram will own them.
boston dude wrote:
[ I think I'd also like to revise my original prediction and pick Bekele to win. It's always close between him and Mottram, .
Really? We didn´t see much of that last year.
Markos Geneti, if he's fit, is probably going to beat Willis and Rupp. He's run 7:38/13:00.
From the field that's been announced, I predict Mottram, Bekele, Geneti, Rupp, Willis.
i think willis will outkick rupp. think about it.
how can anyone honestly pick rupp over willis? Mental.
ments wrote:
how can anyone honestly pick rupp over willis? Mental.
No shit, especially since it's summer down in NZ right now.
Also, since when is 7:44 fast? I mean, it's a good time, but it doesn't really even deserve mention when we're talking about guys like Bekele and Mottram.