Femke Bol: What Are Her Chances For Sub 47.6 400M or 50.68 Hurdles?

50.9 400h

You must be new to the sport of track and field.

Bol has ZERO chance at running sub 47.6 in the 400. That record was set by an extremely drugged woman.

Syd has a better chance of breaking the WR in the 400 than Bol does. But as mentioned, Koch was doped to the gills so I doubt it will happen.

Bol has a decent chance to take down Syd’s 400h record and the Syd would have a good chance to reclaim it.

Femke ran a 49.1ish indoor. No real comp. I really feel that with someone on her ass she can break 48. How far under 48 is anyone else's guess.

As far as Sydney, does she even run these days?

I am a HUGE Bol fan, but she has 0% chance in the 400m flat. No way Jose. Maybe a 48.2 but not sub 48 at all.

In the 400mh, running 51.4 in her first season with a new stride pattern was amazing. If she can refine her technique further and modify, then low 51 is likely and sub 51 is possible, but I feel 50.68 is out of reach. I also feel SML will never approach that time again. I believe the home Champs gave her that extra bit and anywhere else that would have been 50.9. Still other-wordly, of course.

Also a Bol fan and I agree, sub 48 in the open 400 is dreamland stuff. No chance. And Syd's 50.68 ain't happening. I can see a 48.5 and a 50.9x if the race is right, which to be fair, would be tremendous performances. The world records are out of reach IMO.

I like Bol but as others have mentioned, I give her no chance at either record.

The race that I would really like to see is Bol vs Syd in the 400. It's a dream matchup that might have as much of a chance of happening as Bol taking down either record.

She ran last week.

Outdoor 400m is a bit different from indoors. Bol pretty much has the perfect body type for indoor 400 metre running. If she fully drops the hurdles I can see her running between 48.5 and 48.7ish outdoors.

As for the hurdles, sub-52 is still relatively new territory in general. She said after her 51.45 last year that that race ''didn't feel perfect'' at all so I'm guessing she could approach sub-51 in a perfect race. A few tenths quicker if she's paced by having Sydney in the same race.

Both the current 400 and 800 women's records need to be striked down as WR's before Bol can worry about breaking them

Now is the best chance in recent times for someone to break 48. You have Bol, SML, Paulino, and then Miller Uibo and Eid Naser - (Rhasidat Adeleke also hasn't peaked).

Not saying someone will break 48 but this is the biggest group of speedsters in recent times......

Bol ran 49.44 outdoors 2 years ago when her PB indoors was 50.30. Then she worked a lot on her speed in winter trainings and her time indoors dropped to 49.26(now 49.17). So I think now she can run 48.2 outdoor and she is only 24, by the end of her career the WR is possible

I definitely believe Bol is capable of 50.6 in a couple years. She's just 24 years old and continues to improve so a further second doesn't seem impossible. Unless Syd entirely gives up the hurdles, I doubt Bol will hold the WR though. Syd is also 24 and has improved every year she has ran track so she's more likely to lower her WR. Her 48.7 400m last year is just in line with 50.6 over hurdles for her (her technique indicates a 2s differential).

As for the 400m flat, there is a lot of young talent in this event now so with natural progression, it feels more possible than ever that we will start seeing sub-48 and eventually the WR. The question is who can fulfill this potential and take the event forward. My bet is always on prodigious talent so I'd say either Sydney or Salwa (if she can regain her 2019 form). Bol doesn't care for the 400 outdoors enough to be a factor right now but I could see it in the distant future.

Bol is better in the 400 flat, her hurdling technique isn't great

I shouldn't respond because your percentage is so far off. F Bol will have to reduce her 200m p.b. by (1/2 to 1) second to race 47.6 400m.

She has just run 22.64 indoors, so 22.1/22.2 outdoors

You should include Henriette Jaeger also - a stratospheric talent that improves at a staggering rate and her will to win is second to none - she pukes her gut out after all 400 races..

You did not state a fact I did not know. F Bol is not sprinting 47.6 400m. I was trying to be polite.

Why? She can run at least 48.3/48.4 now, and she has a long career ahead