I think people just didn’t fully register how good Doris’s steeple results actually were.
Doris’s steeple résumé in perspective:
- 8:58 NCAA win, time-trial, completely solo, with a 25m lead after one lap
- 11th-fastest time ever run (in the world not just NCAA)
- World Athletics tables equate it to roughly a 14:17 5k
- 5th at Worlds with a fall on the final water jump (likely 3rd or 4th without it)
- Hurdling form is only okay. Her dominance comes from fitness, not technique
And her 14:52 5k PB is from indoors, so it underrates her true level. Note that Jane ran 15:13 indoors then 14:57 outdoors, last season.
My takeaway: for Jane to beat Doris, she would’ve needed to be in ~14:20 shape. I thought they were equal favourites, but in hindsight I undervalued Doris’s record. This race still suggests Jane is in ~14:30 shape, and I look forward to seeing both these women tare up the track in their respective disciplines this season.