Chances of Meb pulling off the miracle...again?

The real question is, whose towel will he be holding up at the end?

The difference between smart and dumb execution on a course like NYCM is easily 10min (anyone remember Mary Keitany and her WR attempt?).

If the Kenyans go out to run a 2:05 into 20 mph headwind, they're going to fail. Big time.

Excited about this RACE.

sub240 wrote:

The difference between smart and dumb execution on a course like NYCM is easily 10min (anyone remember Mary Keitany and her WR attempt?).

If the Kenyans go out to run a 2:05 into 20 mph headwind, they're going to fail. Big time.

Excited about this RACE.

I agree. The tactical mistakes that are made in NY do not have to be the same as those made in Boston. I think that the wind might almost hurt Meb because it might moderate the top several that otherwise would attempt to break the course record. Going hard for that record and blowing up was one of the best scenarios for Meb winning. If they go semi-fast Meb may be left with few to run with against the wind,

It would take a miracle for him to pull off another miracle.

Star wrote:

It would take a miracle for him to pull off another miracle.

Yeah, that's a pretty good way of phrasing it.

Except you should use "will" instead of "would" :)

Never count out Meb Keflezighi.

RunnersFix wrote:

Just curious as to what others think. Obviously, it's a stacked field but with the windy conditions could it turn into a tactical race in Meb's favor? Are his chances even slimmer than Boston? I don't see him even going out on pace with the leaders but miracles happen. What do you think?

[quote]Fogrunr wrote:

Never count out Meb Keflezighi.[quote]

Exactly this! Never ever ever count out Meb!

As the old saying goes you can fool me once , maybe twice but not three times.

The elites now know Meb , he will be left standing this time wondering what happened when they punish him in the latter stages of the race.

At a signing at my local running store a couple months ago, he signed hundreds of posters with "Run to Win - Meb." He will DNF at mile 21.

asdfadf wrote:

Everytime he's won a marathon he's downplayed his fitness . . . .

That's true. Meb has won me over with his gritty, smart racing (I mean real racing, not paced time-trialing), but he's an incredible sandbagger. I don't know what he's saying about his fitness right now, but if he's telling everyone that he's missed three weeks of training in the last month because of injury, then I would expect him to have a good race.

If Meb manages to buck the odds and pull off a victory, it won't be by trying to run away from everyone into a headwind; it'll be by laying off and letting others push the pace. In tough conditions, he's a picker-offer. (I would still be pretty surprised if he won, though.)

Super Fields wrote:

I think Meb will get 4th.

Super Fields called it.

Super Fields >>>> Reg Fields

zing wrote:

Super Fields wrote:

I think Meb will get 4th.

Super Fields called it.

Super Fields >>>> Reg Fields

Mrs. Fields >>>> Super Fields >>>> Reg Fields

zing wrote:Super Fields called it.

Super Fields >>>> Reg Fields

True, but that's not saying much because:

The Entire World >>>> Reg Fields.