Sad Wiggins wrote:
After 2 hours this thread has picked up more replies than the threads on Walsmley, Stinson, Cain, etc.
Not really true, and anyway, look at the replies.
Anyway, this race figures to be a good one. It’ll probably be paced through 3k in a typical 7:45-7:50 and then slow a bit in the 4th k, unless Cheptegei takes it on from 2k out. I think Kejelcha will get the lead at 4k and try to hold it to the tape while turning the screws a la Farah, and until Barega shows he’s in the kind of form we saw in Brussels last year I’m inclined to think he’ll succeed.
1. Kejelcha 12:53
2. Cheptegei 12:54
3. Gebrhiwet 12:56
4. Barega 12:57
5. Chelimo 13:00
Also a few really young Ethiopian guys with 13:0x PRs who could break through in class here.
I don't think it will be that fast - I don't get my hopes up on DL 5000m races producing fast times these days, as there is usually maybe 1 fast one a year. Here are my shot-in-the-dark picks:
Mead at whatever place in 13:1x