Hey boyos,
Chiming in with 2:24 as my prediction.
How the hell does this guy get any work done at Cambridge? Isn't he wiped out after a dirty 20 miler each morning?
Please update the thread with some pics. I want to see this absolute filthy animal live in the flesh.
Also can we get an interview on the Mustard Sandwich Podcast? (I think that's what it's called.)
-Professional Hobby Jogger
ran 3:04:21
He's just one of many youngsters on a diet of 140-150 mpw in the UK. Here's another one going for OTQ: https://www.strava.com/athletes/5110786
It’s not that good just easy mileage? Look up Nicollo fillipazzo he does 160-180 with workouts at altitude 13 5K
He's building a decade long base. He will introduce speedwork in his 30s then smash all masters world records.
kid is killing it, 1:13 in Bostons, impressive
problem is at that mpw, that's already peak performance, not much more improvement possible, the high mpw just guarantees he can keep that performance past mile 22
however the people guessing sub-2:25 are not realistic, he's vdot 65, so he'll touch or just break 2:30
unless he is going to now race in vaporflys in which he'll touch or just break 2:28, at the outside 2:27
with experience he'll get to 2:25 or maybe even 2:20 as he gets older since he is only a teen now
Brad Hudson is the poster boy for this phenomenon. If this kid gets within five minutes of 2:13 that would be impressive.
Kevin_Q wrote:
ran 3:04:21
https://www.strava.com/activities/632480707
He ran 3:04 with 150 mile weeks?
That shows how inefficient that whole mileage thing is.
I did 3:07 with 40-45 miles per week when I was 40.
There is no way he will run 2:30 one day.
all in the vdot wrote:
not much more improvement possible,
Massive room for improvement if he ever does some legit training.
or faster miles?
I'm obviously far from elite myself and my potential is much lower than this guy, but I hope to break 2:25 someday. My life goal is 2:24:59. I am trying to maintain higher mileage this year. I believe having a strong base helps. Of course I'm doing 3 sessions a week too, but without all the easy miles it would be harder to handle more intense workouts. If he introduces harder workouts he will be like Bekele. 4000 miles seems crazy. When I move up to the thon I guess I will want to be doing well over that per year. My target is to average no less than 60 miles per week this year. That would be over 3000 miles or to give it a more round number I would be really happy with 5,000km. I hope to run a half marathon at my lifetime marathon goal pace this year, so that would mean under 72:30. I haven't run any amazing races since 2015 when I was more consistent. I skipped a lot of runs from 2016 to 2018 and my mileage was much lower than in 2015. I've no idea how many miles I've done in all my years but it is definately under 5,000km for any year. Of course I have to keep my 3 sessions a week.
I see he went under 2 hours for 20 miles during the week. And he ran 3:15 km at the end of another 20 miler. He's not just a slow plodder.
not that this is entirely relevant to the OP, but milage is just an alternative spelling for mileage. it's spelled both ways
He is a different runner now to what he was 6 months ago. The guy did 23 miles at 6:00 average including a session, I.e. there was a 75 half in there. He has basically run a 2:40 as part of a 150 mile week. I cannot see him going slower than 2:30s as he literally poops 5:43 pace for breakfast everyday
I'm LOL-ing pretty hard at "most runners" running a 1:13 half on 50 mpw.
LOLer wrote:
I'm LOL-ing pretty hard at "most runners" running a 1:13 half on 50 mpw.
i've run 1.14 on 35-40 mpw
He might run 2:2x. But what is the point of running that much to be so slow.
He should do some proper training. And you run work outs and...recover.
What a waste of time.
OP, where did you find about London?
24 miles for our hero today. With 4 miles in 22:20 in the middle. 152 miles this week.