18yo , has run 4000+ strava miles in 2016/17/18, currently running 150mpw, How fast will he run at London this year?

Dang actually looks legit. I'd guess somewhere around 2:17-2:22.

Based on his use of E and T abbreviations to describe paces, it seems like he's following Daniels. T pace around or a tad below 5:30 suggests a marathon of around 2:30. Faster than me, but not sure that's worth 15-16 hours of running a week. Of course, he has time to get in better shape between now and London, but not sure any better than 2:25 is happening.

Boys got a diesel engine....could be 2:25 now but faster with 6 weeks of 70 mpw and 3 hard sessions a week...

He only ran 73 for the half after 5 months of monster mileage last year. He needs to get some speed in them legs

MONTANA.S wrote:

He only ran 73 for the half after 5 months of monster mileage last year. He needs to get some speed in them legs

That's not too impressive for 150mpw. Most runners I know do 73 on 50-60 mpw.

He needs to ditch the roads and buy a couple of trucker hats.

MONTANA.S wrote:

He only ran 73 for the half after 5 months of monster mileage last year. He needs to get some speed in them legs

Do you think that you can run speed when you are doing that millage? or that the miles need to decreases as the intensity goes up?

Its hard to know how much the workouts are inhibited by tiredness, and how much it is a lack of fitness/ conditioning above threshold pace. I'm inclined think that after 6/8 weeks at 70mpw he would be banging our 10xmile at close to 5 minute pace. Definitely has the engine to do that its just a matter of the legs being used to the speed from a neuromuscular PoV.

Dunno, maybe around 2:30 or high 2:20's but he does largely seem to be grinding out 20 miler after 20 miler each day which looks epic on Strava but doesn't seem the most practical use of time or effort.

Just Being Honest wrote:

MONTANA.S wrote:

He only ran 73 for the half after 5 months of monster mileage last year. He needs to get some speed in them legs

That's not too impressive for 150mpw. Most runners I know do 73 on 50-60 mpw.

You must be in college and your friends are all ncaa runners then. Equating mpw with certain times is a fallacy.

Nope wrote:

Dunno, maybe around 2:30 or high 2:20's but he does largely seem to be grinding out 20 miler after 20 miler each day which looks epic on Strava but doesn't seem the most practical use of time or effort.

I’ll tell you this - I couldn’t handle his weekly workload. I have gone 2:25:17 and intend to run 2:22-2:23 in May.

I say he has a shot at 2:19-2:21 if he is a good racer. Granted, the 1:13 half indicates he may not be. My half PR is only 1:13:31 excluding splits and en route times though... so, you never know.

Your title's a little deceptive. I don't use Strava so maybe I can't see as much as the rest of you but 2018 monthly totals look roughly like this:

Jan 150

Feb 70

March 80

April 50?

May 380

June on 400+ and up to 640 in January 2019!

How did he ramp up that quickly? Was he injured in the spring?

Maybe he just didn't use Strava. Hopefully he just decided to suddenly ramp up mileage by 400%. It would add to the legend of Mr Loo

ChuggsBunny wrote:

So found this Racchongus on strava, looks like he has gone very old school with his training and is just running as many miles as he can, mostly in singles on the road.

https://www.strava.com/athletes/11727000

How fast do people think he is going to run at london?

also who is coaching this guy, what do you think he could do if he trained conventionally for a year ?

Will all these miles benefit him in the future if he comes back down to some conventional millage?

Bro, are we talking about you, right?

how has this thread not got more attention. The guy is running 20+ mile singles EVERYDAY, every run is sub 7 minute miles, with 6:30's just thrown around like nothing. while he has only run a 5:16 once in training, thats off a 9 MILE warm up, and on the x day of consectivly running 20 miles a day in singles. If he tapers properly and sharpens, he could run a shockingly good time in london.

How do you know he's running London? I don't see how he can run a fast marathon if he never runs fast in training though.

Guys - look at the moving time... he's taking breaks very often. Not that impressive to be logging lots of mileage at 7 min per mile pace when you're taking breaks left and right.

[wrote:

how has this thread not got more attention. The guy is running 20+ mile singles EVERYDAY, every run is sub 7 minute miles, with 6:30's just thrown around like nothing. while he has only run a 5:16 once in training, thats off a 9 MILE warm up, and on the x day of consectivly running 20 miles a day in singles. If he tapers properly and sharpens, he could run a shockingly good time in london.

If shockingly good is mid 2:20s than maybe. But there’s no way he’d be under 2:20 considering he has .1% of his training at that pace or faster. If Vegas had an over under, it’d be 2:24:30. This is based off his CURRENT training.

If this is all some base block and the next 2 months he progresses his fitness and does some actual workouts with some sort of pace variety, sub 2:20 is within reason.

JE11 wrote:

How do you know he's running London?

op is that dude

ChuggsBunny wrote:

So found this Racchongus on strava, looks like he has gone very old school with his training and is just running as many miles as he can, mostly in singles on the road.

https://www.strava.com/athletes/11727000

How fast do people think he is going to run at london?

also who is coaching this guy, what do you think he could do if he trained conventionally for a year ?

Will all these miles benefit him in the future if he comes back down to some conventional millage?

Ummm ... What is a "Racchongus" and why is it capitalized? While I am at it, why is "Strava" not capitalized?

Running high mileage in singles is NOT old-school, it is just stupid. Also, the word is not "millage", it is spelled "mileage" and "millage" is something else entirely.