USATF predictions now?

1500:

Myers

Webb

Jennings

Gruber

Steeple:

AFam

Lincoln

Desilets

Slat

5k:

Goucher

Torres

Broe

Hall

10k:

Ritz

Meb

Abdi

Rupp

They may have been at different phases of their training, but based on this weekend's race, I don't see any basis for putting Torres ahead of Broe in the 5000

1500- Webb, Meyers, Gruber

STeeple-Lincoln, Famiglietti, Slattery

5000-Rexing, Goucher, Broe

10,000-Ritz, Meb, Rupp (if he runs)

Withrow???????? wrote:

And look at what those two have done since then....

He ran 13:35 in what may've been his 2nd 5K ever, beat Ritz/Dobson at the senior WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS as our country's NUMBER ONE FINISHER. Look at what Ritz and Dobson have done since then.

Speed Kills wrote:

Guys, note the following:

Dathan Ritzenhein unattached / Nike 27:38.50 not qualified

Saw the same thing. I'm assuming that Ritz is correct regarding his status and the USATF website is wrong. That'd be a pretty big career blunder if his 10K plans were squashed because he made a mistake in the qualifying window.

I would love to see Withrow take a run with some of these guys, but maybe he just feels like he is young and has time, also he really could be an amazing force in XC this year so he could already be thinking that. Still its a long summer, it would be cool to just see him take a shot, but oh well!?

1500-Webb blows them away with 800 to go (just like 2004 Trials victory). Myers outkicks Gruber and Gruber also gets passed at the line by Grant Robison.

Webb 3:36/Myers 3:38 low/Robison 3:38 high.

steeple-Fam sets a strong pace and it is going to be hot for the steeple finals. Lincoln and Slats goes with him. Lincoln fades, but not too bad. Slattery fades and gets passed with 2 laps to go by one of the college guys.

Fam 8:20/Lincoln 8:23/ Desiliets,Smith,Bruce, Olinger 8:27

5000-Broe wins off of any pace. Ritz will set the pace and it'll be low-13:20. Everyone goes with him, but by 4k, only Broe, Dobson, Torres are in there. Broe pulls away with 2:00 last 800. Torres tries to match, but Dobson gets him with 500 meters to go. Ritz ties up badly and fades to 6th (I put Ritz in the 5k, because the time he entered isn't even cose to the window for USATF. He ran it April 2004 and the window doesn't open until July 19th!).

How about women's distance events?

Saw Gary this weekend at NCAA's; he cretainly LOOKED like he is still training.Have to think he'd be in the top 6 of the steeplechase?

Also have to pick Texas freshman to get 3rd behind Webb and Gruber.

xcmiler wrote:

I would love to see Withrow take a run with some of these guys, but maybe he just feels like he is young and has time, also he really could be an amazing force in XC this year so he could already be thinking that. Still its a long summer, it would be cool to just see him take a shot, but oh well!?

My thoughts exactly. This 18-19 year old kid has only run 3 races since high school, and parlayed them to beating collegiate/professional studs and impressing at the WC's. Not to mention that he's shown toughness and a killer kick off of fast paces. All he does is beat people.

ttc wrote:This 18-19 year old kid has only run 3 races since high school

Thanks to his dumbass coaches getting greedy and redshirting him. You can't blame them for the cross-country thing I guess; they had Solinsky, Bairu, Teg, etc. and should've run away with the title. But then Withrow has his great World Cross run, looks primed for a good track season AND they redshirt him? He runs a 13:35, but he's Redshirted? Why??? He could've placed high at NCAA's with that kind of mark. I hope he goes pro before his eligiblity is up, just to show them what asses they were for "preserving" his eligibility when he was fired up and ready to go.

Or maybe they are looking out for his long term development and not whoring him for the NCAA system and points. Go blow it out your ass.

800m-

Jonathan Johnson, 1:42.59

Kevin Hicks, 1:44.60

David Krummenaker, 1:45.20

1500m-

Alan Webb, 3:38.20

Rob Myers, 3:39.02

Chris Estwanik, 3:40.40

Steeple-

Anthony Famiglietti, 8:11.30

Dan Lincoln, 8:19.20

Andy Smith, 8:28.20

5000m-

Tim Broe, 13:18.20

Adam Goucher, 13:20.40

Jorge Torres, 13:22.40

10,000m-

Meb Keflezighi, 27:20.60

Dathan Ritzenhein, 27:34.20

Abdi Abdirahman, 27:38.20

Searidge Runner wrote:

Chris Estwanik, 3:40.40

Any info on this guy?? I've seen his name enough and know he's run a fast time or two this season, but that's it. Is he a kicker or strength guy?

Anthony will dominate in 8:17.

Lincoln is just coming back to form after witnessing his slow 2-mile at Pre Meet. He is the best runner in the field though and will hang in for an 8:21 and 2nd place. The last spot really is up for grabs (as much as the 1500 in my mind). If Gary is running this year, he'd be a possibility, but I see more of the young guys and kickers like Andy Smith, Ben Bruce, and then Slattery types ahead of Rob. It will come down to the last 400 meters though!

800 - Johnson, Krummenaker, K Robinson

1500 - Webb, Myers, McGowan

Steeple - Famiglieti, Lincoln, Smith/Slattery

5000 - Broe, then who knows - wide open (Hall/Dobson?)

10000 - Meb, Ritzenhein, Abdirahman

800m - Krum, Johnson, Robinson

1500m - Webb, Myers, Jennings (unlikely for Gabe but who knows)

Steeple - Fam, Lincoln, Slattery

5000m - Broe, Goucher, Torres (though i could see dobson sneaking in and goucher falling off the radar)

10000m - Meb, Ritz, Abdi

Chris runs for the farm team. He's gone 7:51 for 3000m indoors, so he has very good strength. I believe he was in the finals of the olympic trials last july at 1500m.

GOUCHER TOP 3 WITH HIS "MEDICINE". IF NO "MEDICINE" THEN DEAD FUCKING LAST IN PRELIMS.