Trollminator wrote:
Alright, time for predictions!
In this election contest, the poster with the highest score wins. There are 3 races to predict (1. Presidential, 2) Senate, 3) House), each with predictions worth a certain amount of points. 300 is a perfect score. Instructions are straightforward. Do not mess with the characters in the questions, simply reply to this post and add your responses as indicated at the end of each (e.g. T for 1.a., a for 1.c., 330 for 1.d., D for 2.a.). Blank responses = no points.
You have until Monday evening to post your final answers, feel free to post prelim predictions if you wish in the meantime. On election day I will share everyone's responses. I will calculate scores after the election whenever the results are actually determined.
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1. ~Presidential Race (150 points max)~
1.a. Pick winner ("choose "T" or "B") (40 points):
1.b. Pick winner of popular vote ("choose "T" or "B") (8 points):
1.c. Predict margin of popular vote victory by selecting from one of the following letters (8 points for correct response): "a" < 1 million; "b" 1-2 million; "c" 3-5 million; "d" 5-7 million; "e" 7-10 million; "f" 10+ million
1.d. Predict winner's total EC votes (provide exact number) (30 points for exact, 15 if within range of 10, 10 if within range of 30, 5 if within range of 50):
1.e. ~Predict winner of toss-up states (choose "T" or "B" for each) (4 points for each correct pick) ~
1.e.i. Iowa:
1.e.ii. Georgia:
1.e.ii. Ohio:
1.e.iv. Florida:
1.e.v. North Carolina:
1.e.vi. Texas:
1.e.vii. Arizona:
1.e.viii. Pennsylvania:
1.e.ix. Nevada:
1.e.x. Michigan:
1.e.xi. Minnesota:
1.e.xii. New Hampshire:
1.f. ~Predict winner of likely D state (choose "T" or "B" for each) (2 points for each correct pick)~
1.f.i. Colorado:
1.f.ii. Maine:
1.f.iii. Virginia:
1.f.iv. New Mexico:
1.g. ~Predict winner of likely R state (choose "T" or "B" for each) (2 points each correct pick)~
1.g.i. Montana:
1.g.ii. Alaska:
1.g.ii. South Carolina:
1.g.ii. Missouri:
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2. ~Senate Race (100 points max)~
2.a. Pick winning party (choose "R" or "D") (40 points):
2.b. Predict total seats for winning party (provide exact number including VP) (12 points for exact, 8 if within range of 1, 6 if within range of 2, 4 if within range of 3, 2 if within range of 5):
2.c. ~Predict winner of toss-up Senate elections (choose "R" or "D") (4 points for each correct pick)~
2.c.i. Iowa (R-Ernst/D-Greenfield):
2.c.ii. Georgia (R-Purdue/D-Ossof):
2.c.iii. North Carolina (R-Tillis/D-Cunningham):
2.c.iv. Maine (R-Collins/D-Gideon):
2.c.v. Georgia runoff (R/D):
2.c.vi. Montana (R-Daines/D-Bullock):
2.c.vii. Kansas: (R-Marshall/D-Bollier):
2.c.viii. Arizona (R-McSally/D-Kelly):
2.c.ix. Alaska (R-Sullivan/D-Gross):
2.c.x. Michigan (R-James/D-Peters):
2.c.xi. Alabama (R-Tuberville/D-Jones):
2.c.xii. Colorado (R-Gardner/D-Hickenlooper):
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3. ~House Race (50 points max)~
3.a. Pick winning party (choose "R" or "D") (10 points):
3.b. Predict margin of party victory - total seat difference between winning and losing parties (provide exact number) (40 points if within range of 10, 30 if within range of 20, 20 if within range of 30, 10 if within range of 50):
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