reality Chuck wrote:
yikes!! wrote:Guy's a proven gamer and a gold medallist, but can he do it? He had a strong double recently and you know he's still working to get in shape... but is this actually a blessing in disguise? Centro looked past-peak in Beijing so this injury might set him back a bit so he's peaked in August. With the 1500m looking rather weak this year, I'll predict Centro wins the trials, a surprise in 2nd, and Andrews for his late kick 3rd.
Will any of the Trials three 1500 rounds produce a race fast enough for a real "surprise" to get an OG Q time?
Not bloody likely! Someone has run a 3:36.20 or better in only 3 trials, and that's counting heats and semis: 1980 (meet record 3:35.15 Steve Scott), 2000 (3:35.90), and 2004 (3:36.13). It's hoping for quite a lot to get your Olympic standard during the trials.
Cheer up, it was tougher in 2012, with the Olympic "A" standard at 3:35.50. That was beat at the trials only once, by Steve Scott.