Noel will be in contention to win the region even after a mediocre track season, and Connor Fagan will be solid after being all region last year. But after that there is a huge drop off, even with a 15:30 guy coming in. Not convinced they can beat out Bridgewater, which has two solid recruits coming in and a group of returners that could be in the top 20, or W&L which has a 3 guys that could be in the top 15 and their entire team coming back from last year. CNU always brings in a large group of freshmen and has solid returners and will be competiting for a trip to nationals too.