Old Man Winter wrote:
"Looked too good in that 3k against Gebremeskel"
His splits from the last 1k of that race: 32.2, 32.2, 31.1, 27.8, ~26 (~2:29)
So he closed the last 400 in 53-high/54-low after sauntering along at 31-32 for quite a while. Not sure if that's what I'd call "looking too good". I'm not saying that he can't do it, but it's easy to be skeptical.
Yes but he also blew the doors off of Leer in the same race. At the very least, he could decisively beat Leer again. What if Leer's in 3:52 shape?
If not for Lagat, I'd predict Leer to WIN, which I've never successfully done. I missed the opportunity last year. But this year Lagat will WIN.