Somlier wrote:
The point is that if Kipchoge and all the other top marathoners had kept to the track and maxed their 5/10k potential instead of moving to the roads then they would be better 5/10k runners than Mo, who is primarily a 1500/3k runner.
Yeah if only there were a huge contingent of long distance track guys within about 3/4 of a second per lap of the 5k...
Oh wait!
http://www.letsrun.com/2012/paris-0706.phpSub 12:50 for six guys, the fastest of whom closed in 54?? And some back-benchers at that, John Kipkoech at 12:49 and as far as I can tell no championship appearances?
Mo's competition is good. We need to put this trope to rest.
We have no idea if the top marathoners could be competitive at 5k and 10k. On the one hand, their times suggest great 10k potential. On the other, that they've chosen the marathon suggests a self-selection away from events that require a big kick.
What we do know is that Mo wins track races because he can put in a 51-53 400 at the end of all types of races, including after rounds. Why no one else can do that anymore is hard to say.
Also more speculatively, it seems that a lack of cooperative tactics is really holding the Kenyans and Ethiopians back. No one knows whether Mo would have the best kick in a sub 12:55/sub 26:40 race, and he might, but it looks like their error to not even try.
As to whether Mo can do well at the marathon, we'll have to see. It's too early to tell.
This is coming from someone who is suspicious of Mo's success because it's too dramatic of a shift too late in life.