It Just Became ALMOST Impossible For Galen Rupp To Medal In Moscow

You're still doubting Lagat? SERIOUSLY? I hope Lagat wins 5000m gold this summer. I really do.

SPMBLNPF,

You are a sick, sad man if your idea of fun is trolling this website by trashing the USA's best distance runner.

Letsrun posters who responded seriously to this post,

You are all idiots for being trolled by this guy. REPEATEDLY.

Also, this isn't the first time I've noticed that anytime someone starts a negative thread about Rupp, you almost unanimously defend him. Then, when there's a positive thread, you come like a pack of wolves to attack him. It's the same with Alan Webb.

Make up your minds and stop being so pathetic.

SPMBLNPF wrote:

I might add that there can be a tendency for Ethiopians to run more as a team than, say, the Americans, and as a result, there is always the possibility that Gebrhiwet does what he does to set it up for a kick between himself, his teammates, and Farah, knowing that at least one of them can possibly outkick Farah, even if it is not him.

Farah has never hit the bell quicker than 12 flat. Gebrhiwet and Alamirew working together could easily be 5 seconds ahead of him at that point. But I don't think Alamirew will be able to keep up either. Gebrhiwet has a whole nuther level, he's been holding back.

The sad thing is that you are not even being anti Rupp. Even though you are trying hard to be.

The truth is, the 10000M medals have always been the East Africans to lose. Salazar has openly said that Farah, let alone Rupp, has never gotten to the level Bekele was at a few years ago. And there is no shortage of East Africans who can pull off an amazing race given a year of high quality, high volume, injury free training.

But that is just it. Rupp WILL show up at the starting line at the World Championships healthy and in peak form. With East African runners you frankly don't know. Rupp is at a level where if the East African athletes are injured or otherwise stale in their conditioning, Rupp will beat all of them as he did in London.

In other words, its the East Africans to lose to Rupp. But its a very decent chance they will lose.

Nice post. A good way of thinking about it is the looking at the 1500.If you can show up at the Olympics ready to run rounds and close a 3:34 final in 51-52, you have a shot at a medal (Willis, Manzano) That does not mean you will be a 3:26 man but that's ok if you want medals.Leo is not Kiprop but he peaks well and has a shot if Kiprop is not in form or runs stupid. Rupp will never be Bekele but none of the top talents have even reached 26:40 for the last 5 years. If they reach 26:20 form, Rupp can't touch them. Maybe HG gets there but not yet.

Gebremeskel needs to get his stuff together. So far the dude that ran 55 to close 12:46 has been entirely absent this season. Hopefully we will see a nice 10000 out of him on Thursday.

What changed this week that it only now "just became ALMOST Impossible"?

rekrunner wrote:

What changed this week that it only now "just became ALMOST Impossible"?

Well, I don't know when it exactly changed, and I am not sure it ever changed in the sense that perhaps Galen never had a chance, and if that is your viewpoint, it is difficult to argue.

However, of course the title of the thread is potentially misleading because perhaps Ethiopia was planning all along to field a stronger 10,000m team, and this simply became apparent to some this week, and so if you are demanding absolute precision regarding the moment Gebrhiwet and Gebremeskel, two runners who are superior to Galen Rupp, appear to have opted to try to make Ethiopia's WC team in the 10,000m, then a more accurate title might be, "To the intelligent, the revelation that certain Ethiopian runners appear to be opting to attempt to represent Ethiopia in the 10,000m in Moscow, triggers thoughts regarding the almost insurmountable feat it would be for Galen to defeat them and his training partner, rendering his medal chances almost nil." But you see, that would be a lousy title for a thread, and so it is what it is.

SPMBLNPF, where you been Bro? we have missed you and your insightful wisdom for some time. This site has been fool of garbage recently, with biased nonsense about Superwoman 'Cain'. Nice to see you back telling it as it is.

Just for the record that Dibaba was younger than Cain when she won the 5K in the Paris 10 years ago, and will whoop Cain's candy a** in Moscow.

It's a curious choice of words, to say "just became", then basing it on some speculative events in the future that might happen. There's a real temporal cause and effect paradox there.Did Ethiopia plan to field a weaker team last year at the Olympics? Every year, every country plans to field the strongest team possible. Why would it only become "apparent to some" this week, that this year, Ethiopia plans to field a stronger 10000m team? Again, what happened "this week" that finally made it "apparent to some", besides Rupp winning with ease?It's not just the title, but the whole thread is misleading. Shouldn't a lousy thread have a lousy title?

Let Us Run wrote:

If you're wrong, will you stop posting forever?

He'll claim he will, then come back and post the same stuff under a different name. He's used a few now, Jesse was a Friend and Cliff Calvin come to mind. Each claims no relation to the other, but if you run their posts through one of those online writing style analyzers, it's basically a 100% match for writing style, all bashing Rupp, all seeming to appear not long after the other disappears.

I mean, it's not proof, but you can probably draw your own conclusions.

someone had to do it wrote:

Galen ran 26:48 21 months ago, i.e., almost 2 years ago.

Since then he has run 12:58 in early june (1 year ago)

3:50 indoors

7:30 indoors

Both world leading times indoors.

He will certainly be in sub 26:40 shape come august.

And he has better speed than just about any other 10k guy.

I don't think he is too worried.

This weekend Farah closed a slow 5000 in 50.8 and Galen closed a slow 5000 in 54, am I right? I did not see the US 5000 so I don't know when Galen started to run fast, was it with 400m to go?

If so, that was damn slow last lap.

questionnnn wrote:

someone had to do it wrote:

Galen ran 26:48 21 months ago, i.e., almost 2 years ago.

Since then he has run 12:58 in early june (1 year ago)

3:50 indoors

7:30 indoors

Both world leading times indoors.

He will certainly be in sub 26:40 shape come august.

And he has better speed than just about any other 10k guy.

I don't think he is too worried.

This weekend Farah closed a slow 5000 in 50.8 and Galen closed a slow 5000 in 54, am I right? I did not see the US 5000 so I don't know when Galen started to run fast, was it with 400m to go?

If so, that was damn slow last lap.

the difference there is US Champs the last mile was fast i.e. 4 or 5 seconds under for top guys. i believe farah's race was just a fast last lap.

We basically still have no clue who will represent Kenya and Ethiopia at 5k and 10k in Moscow. Except Jeilan and Isiah Koech because of the wildcards.

Take a look at the 2013 lists. There has essentially only been one fast race at 5k (Rome) and one fast race at 10k (Eugene).

At least wait until you know who Rupp will face until you write off his chances.

SPMBLNPF wrote:

If Galen cannot outkick a 38 year old man, he has no chance against the devastating kicks of the likes of Gebremeskel, Alamirew and Farah, and he cannot stay with Gebrhiwet when he throws the hammer down.

Though it is the same point in the season for both Lagat and Rupp, it's still pretty early. With worlds multiple weeks away, you can be sure that AlSal will have Rupp doing lots of speedwork, in addition to racing at shorter distances.

Did Rupp throw all he had at Lagat and get beat? Yup.

Does all he have at USAs represent what he'll have in a few weeks. Not in the slightest.

Rupp lost a mile to Bernard Lagat, the 2nd fastest 1500 runner in history who apparently doesn't age, as he is still a world champion contester at 38. It could also be noted that Rupp had already run the 10k prior to the 5k (we all know how well that went for his 5k kick at the olympics last year). You also seem to forget that Bekele still exists and has been relatively quiet with his racing this year, possibly sacrificing frequent races for better training. With good training and health, the king of 10k kicking would annihilate the Gebs, Rupp, Farah, Jelian, and anyone else that would think about challenging him. Unhealthy Bekele will lead to Rupp, Farah, and Jeilan medaling. Healthy Bekele moves somebody out as he dominates the field. Either way, I think Rupp will be one of the 3.

Future Alcoholic wrote:

SPMBLNPF,

You are a sick, sad man if your idea of fun is trolling this website by trashing the USA's best distance runner.

I agree that there is no reason to bash our runners, but Galen Rupp is not the USA's best distance runner. Bernard Lagat is.

Race predictions the week of the event is cool but to say nearly 2 months before a race that a strong contender has almost zero chances to medal is pure speculation and negative thinking. Rupp is a contender. Not a favorite. Not a long shot. Personally I don't care if he medals or not. I would prefer a big PR. A PR would boost his chances of medalling since his PR is already one of the best in the world. But I would be just fine with a PR and not placing. Of course its unlikely a world championship race will be fast as opposed to strategic, but one can hope.

america baby wrote:

Future Alcoholic wrote:

SPMBLNPF,

You are a sick, sad man if your idea of fun is trolling this website by trashing the USA's best distance runner.

I agree that there is no reason to bash our runners, but Galen Rupp is not the USA's best distance runner. Bernard Lagat is.

Lol. Maybe 5 years ago.