preponderanceofpondering wrote:
Allowing for the myriad of obvious circumstantial and personal variances, how long would/should it take a healthy, mid-20s male to go from never running to a sub 18 min 5k?(And no, "17:59" is not really a unique or beautiful answer)
Then, how much longer would/should it take after 6-7 months of building mileage to the mid 30s and running a mid 19 5k?
Any ideas? One year total? 9 months total? Two years total?
Ballpark figures would be ballimous.
1) Whether you're healthy or not is no where near the biggest factor here. Running a sub 18-minute 5k takes a little bit of talent...more than 99% of all runners will never be able to do that. Do you have the talent to do it? Maybe.
2) It could be that you do it in 3 months of training or it could be that it takes you 4 years like it did another poster. BUT, not everyone can do it, no matter how long they try or how great their training is.
3) My first road race ever came at age 14. It was a 10k, and I ran 37:48 (either that was it, or a 30:06 5 miler I ran which is right about the same level). I "trained" for about 4 weeks for that 10k race. According to this calculator here -
http://www.mcmillanrunning.com/mcmillanrunningcalculator.htm, that's equivalent to about an 18:12 5k. Of course I was still a kid then. I once trained over a summer when I was in my late 30s and went from a 22 minute 5k down to 17:48, but I am a former 14:58 5,000 meter runner. Today at age 44, being hampered by injuries that never seem to be gone for long, I don't think I could train myself to get below 18 minutes again; maybe 20 minutes. If I jumped in a race right now, assuming I could get through it without limping, I would probably run a 23:something.