After reading about U-C freshman Billy Nelson's conference performance again and thinking about the remote possibility of a Ritz participation and top 10-15 finish....I would change my mind and give U-C the nod if Ritz does participate.
They would have a chance at having all 5 runners in the top 15-18. Nelson is only a freshman and he seems to really be coming into his own right now (He finished with Slattery at Conference, only 29" behind J.Torres). I would not be surprised if he actually beats Slattery in Regionals or Nationals. His emergence makes them a scary proposition if all 5 show up....even more so than Stanford.
This is the most exciting X-C season I can remember!