Blowing.Rock Master wrote:
You're correct as long as you're only talking about scientists, none have said CO2 is the only contributor. However, many have said that it drives global warming, ignoring the overwhelming effects of solar variation, water vapor, ocean temperature, ocean currents, wind currents, cloud cover, etc. We could completely stop emitting CO2 and the climate would continue to change.
How does the graph indicate that CO2 drives temperature. Temperature consistently drops before CO2 does. If CO2 drives warming, then CO2 MUST drop before temperature can.
Concerning the additional overwhelming effects that you list: do you think climatologists really just left water vapor and solar activity out of their studies? (whoops!) Every beginner's introduction to climate study emphasizes that the climate is solar-driven. Also, check this:
http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers/Laut2003.pdfFrom the abstract:
My findings do not by any means rule out the existence of important links between solar activity and terrestrial climate. Such links have over the years been demonstrated by many authors. The sole objective of the present analysis is to draw attention to the fact that some of the widely publicized, apparent correlations do not properly reflect the underlying physical data.
Also, the mean content of water vapor in the air is mostly dependent on the mean air temperature. This can actually be shown mathematically from fundamental physical principles. This means that, although water is a very potent greenhouse gas, it doesn't accumulate in the atmosphere at a given mean global temperature (duh, it rains). It DOES, however, create a positive feedback (as well as some negative feedbacks) for other greenhouse gases that do accumulate in the atmosphere like, say, CO2. A similar argument goes for methane, which has a fraction of the atmospheric half life of CO2.
The main gist is that, yes, they've considered these things in their studies.