I hate prediction threads, but I'm also a hypocrite.
I'm running a 20k (random distance) on Sunday.
1:11:xx is the age group record. Which is 5:45 pace.
My tempo pace is 5:30-5:40.
Can I run a 1:11?
I hate prediction threads, but I'm also a hypocrite.
I'm running a 20k (random distance) on Sunday.
1:11:xx is the age group record. Which is 5:45 pace.
My tempo pace is 5:30-5:40.
Can I run a 1:11?
How many miles a week are you running?
Honestly? I am going to say no.
3200 is not a great predictor of 20k, they're such different distances you can't really compare.
What's your 5k? Your Mile? We'd need to get a sense of what type of runner you are.
I ran 1:15 last year coming of an 11:00 2 mile in track. So just 4 minutes.
Based off of last years run, I'd say I suited for the longer distances.
I run about 90 miles a week. I'm going to be running DIII in the fall.
My 5k best isn't on par with my 2 mile. I've run a 4:35 mile though.
You ran a 1:15 last year, and you've improved your 3200 time by a full minute since then. On top of that you are putting in a lot of miles. I don't see why you couldn't run a 1:11 on a good day.
But if you are more suited for long distances, why is your 5k time relatively slower than your 3200m time?
Based on what you've said I think you have an excellent chance. So your tempo pace is 5:30-5:40? Well assuming you can run 5 miles by yourself "comfortably"@5:35 pace, then you should be able to maintain that for a half marathon (especially with your mileage). At least that's my rule of thumb. This rule won't work for a lot of people though, because they run their tempos too fast.
...But if you are more suited for long distances, why is your 5k time relatively slower than your 3200m time?$64k question.
Will depend on the weather...looks like it might be cooler. I say you go sub-1:10.
Yes, I'd say you are in close to 1:15 shape for a HM so 1:11 for 2km is doable. The McMillan running calculator has you at 1:11:07. Keep doing the tempo efforts and long runs.
Thanks guys, I definitely needed some confidence for Sunday.
My 5k time is slower simply because I've improved so much in the last year.
I ran about a 17:00 in XC but then, like I said, I ran just under 10 a few months later.
High mileage can do a lot.
Thanks again.
go for it. two things about the leesburg to remember: 1) except for the fluke 2 years ago, it's hot as hell, and 2) except for the ice cream man's no-show 3 years ago, finishing fast means not having to wait in line with penguins for ice cream.
MarathonMind wrote:
...But if you are more suited for long distances, why is your 5k time relatively slower than your 3200m time?$64k question.
He's probably just finished high school which means he has far more opportunity to run the 3200m than the 5k (except maybe on the grass, which doesn't matter for time).
my dad is running that 20k.
im running the leesburg 10k, i would done the 20k but my coach told me it may hurt my season if i run that far.
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