I'm just pointing out the fact that 3rd was probably where he was going to finish fever or no fever.
I'm just pointing out the fact that 3rd was probably where he was going to finish fever or no fever.
Probably is entirely different than no scenario, like you said before.
Heemeyer has done it and had sub 9 fitness in cross. Probably a lock as long as he gets in the right race.l with good weather.
Athay had sub 9 fitness in 2021 cross. Probably also a lock if he can get back to full strength and in the right race. It might not happen until summer 2024 national meets because winter training in SE Idaho is a disaster with meaningful outdoor running all but impossible until March.
I think that Kemper could do it if he ditches 800 training and focuses on the 3200. Seem like that wouldn’t best use his talents so probably won’t happen. I more expect some great 800 and 1600 times.
Ringert, Cervi, and Lucas - I’d be surprised if at least one doesn’t get it at Arcadia or some Oregon meet.
Probably a worthwhile story line to follow is that Eagle has had a change of coaching since last fall for the distance kids. The coach that is there now was coached by Pat McCurry, who is now the coach of Marisa Howard, one of the Rocky Mountain coaches and wife to Jeff Howard, the head coach. If there isn't already, there will probably be quite a bit of overlap between the two programs now between coaching style and training. It's been pointed out on other threads that Eagle's program has been traditionally strong, and lately has had less and less kids, resulting in less than 35 kids on the roster this last fall. Hopefully that will be trending a different direction with a changing of the guard.
Freshman Rietze ran at the state 3200 meet too.
Cwer, give us your 5A Boys and 5A Girls team predictions for the Idaho state XC meet…top 6 teams for each.
Predictions wrote:
Cwer, give us your 5A Boys and 5A Girls team predictions for the Idaho state XC meet…top 6 teams for each.
I can guess what his will be.
guys:
1. Rocky
2-6. who cares?
girls:
same.
But FR, mine are:
1. CDA
2. Boise
3a. Centennial
3b. Rocky
5. Idaho Falls (if Athay is back, slide ‘em down if he isn’t.)
6. Timberline
Girls:
1. Boise
2. Rocky
3. Mountain View
4. Preston
5. Timberline
6. ??
Cwerish wrote:
But FR, mine are:
1. CDA
2. Boise
3a. Centennial
3b. Rocky
5. Idaho Falls (if Athay is back, slide ‘em down if he isn’t.)
6. Timberline
Girls:
1. Boise
2. Rocky
3. Mountain View
4. Preston
5. Timberline
6. ??
IF is back in 4a. Athay will be back and if everyone stays healthy and has a good summer don’t be surprised if they push for top 5 at NXR. The battle in 4a is against BK, who also looks to be very good and somehow doesn’t get mentioned often enough in these discussions.
Anyone here know if Idaho is capped at 4 teams at NXR in the championship? That seems to be the number every year, at least in the men’s race.
I get the impression more than 4 will want in this year.
I believe the NW Meet Director attempts to take the best 22 teams and 45 individuals to mimic the NXN field size. Idaho historically hasn’t had more than 4 teams that belong in the championship race. This fall could be different which would be cool for Idaho!
But FR, mine are:
1. CDA
2. Boise
3a. Centennial
3b. Rocky
5. Idaho Falls (if Athay is back, slide ‘em down if he isn’t.)
6. Timberline
Girls:
1. Boise
2. Rocky
3. Mountain View
4. Preston
5. Timberline
6. ??
Preston will be 5A?
The question was top teams in Idaho. Not top 5A. Hence the inclusion of IF and Preston.
If it’s 5A, it’s CDA, Boise, Rocky, Centennial, Timberline and either MV or Eagle for the boys.
For girls, it’s Boise, Rocky, MV, Timberline, CDA, and probably one of the eastern schools.
Cwerish wrote:
The question was top teams in Idaho. Not top 5A. Hence the inclusion of IF and Preston.
If it’s 5A, it’s CDA, Boise, Rocky, Centennial, Timberline and either MV or Eagle for the boys.
For girls, it’s Boise, Rocky, MV, Timberline, CDA, and probably one of the eastern schools.
Never mind, I can’t read. It was 5A. I completely missed that.
Predictions wrote:
Cwer, give us your 5A Boys and 5A Girls team predictions for the Idaho state XC meet…top 6 teams for each.
I made a new thread for the 2023 XC season
Predictions wrote:
I believe the NW Meet Director attempts to take the best 22 teams and 45 individuals to mimic the NXN field size. Idaho historically hasn’t had more than 4 teams that belong in the championship race. This fall could be different which would be cool for Idaho!
The top 4 5A teams should get in, and possibly the 5th if either Eagle or MV can develop depth. I would think BK and IF (with Athay) should get in as well.
The top 4 are really, really good. Rocky has had a lot of success over the last decade, so I think it’s hard for people to pick against them or to acknowledge that it’s totally possible they could be 4th at the state meet if they have even a slightly off day. Centennial is very legit. 1:54/4:15, 1:59/4:23, 4:30/9:55, and two 9:54 freshmen. They also have a 4:55 8th grader coming in and a 10:13 sophomore. Boise has Kemper and Helder, both potential top 5 guys and 4:31/9:54, 4:33/9:32 and 10:03 guys. Rocky could also totally win it if they hit on all cylinders and CDA has one guy have a bad day.
Boise could also just not trophy. They are thin enough that if they have a guy stink it up they could finish 5th.
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