57 Days Until the Boston Marathon: Here are 39 Profiles, three every four days

That last name is my next profile here.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Was disappointing in Eugene two nights ago over two miles. Caroline had such a great history over that 3-5k range in DL programs. Setting her sights now to the classic distance, will she be as competitive as others who have made debuts this last two years: Peres, Keleta, Azimeraw, Zeinaba Yimer, Besu Sado, and Diane Chemtai Kipyogei?

That last name is my next profile here.

Diane announced herself as a world class road runner in 2018 with 5 of the best 78 half performances that year (sub 68.45), culminating with her PB of 67.07 when fifth in Valencia. Transitioned to this classic distance the next year with third in Ljubljana in 2.22.07. Won Istanbul last year one second quicker.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Sixth man could be Paul Lonyangata, PB back in 2017 of 2.06.10 when winning Paris. In 2019 was third in the French capital in 2.07.29 and won Shanghai in 2.08.11. 2018 won Paris (likes it there) in 2.06.25 and in 2016 was fifth here and fourth in Chicago

Seventh is Benson Kipruto, same finish he had in London last year. First to finish this year in Prague at the battle of the teams. PB from Toronto in 2019 when 4th in 2.05.13.

Next may be Leonard Barsoton, on debut. PB of 59.08 when fourth in Valencia in 2019. Was fifth in Delhi last year in 59.10 and sixth at Worlds

8th lady and second American should be Desi Linden. Has a great record here including winning in poor weather. PB when second here in 2.22.38 in 2011. Is now 38yo. More data in an hour.

Aussiestatman wrote:

8th lady and second American should be Desi Linden. Has a great record here including winning in poor weather. PB when second here in 2.22.38 in 2011. Is now 38yo. More data in an hour.

Desi's PB on a course eligible for records is 2.25.55 in Houston in 2012. Linden hasn't broken 2.26.30 since 2016 except when here in 2017. Was so close to Olympic qualification, finishing 4th.

Ninth to cross the line could be Hayle Lemi Berhanu, still only 27yo next month but has represented Ethiopia at Worlds in 2015 and the Rio Olympics. Won here in 2016 but had a DNF in Tokyo last year. Here is my mini bio from then:

Tenth to finish may be Hayle Lemi Berhanu, 25yo and ranked 40. DNF at Boston last year then second in Toronto in 2.05.09. PB is from second in Dubai in 2016: 2.04.33. Won Dubai the year before that 55 seconds slower. Has repped for Ethiopia at worlds 2015 and Rio Olympics.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

The two sub 2.20's were in 2012 and 2015 but in 2019 in Berlin ran 2.20.21 when second. Has two second placed finishes here. Is still only 31yo.

Doing my research, I have American women at 4th and eighth. Too high?

So do you think the proven major performers (Americans) can finish ahead of women quicker on flat courses?

Aussiestatman wrote:

8th lady and second American should be Desi Linden. Has a great record here including winning in poor weather. PB when second here in 2.22.38 in 2011. Is now 38yo. More data in an hour.

Next should be Bedatu Hirpa with a PB of 2.21.32 when third in Frankfurt in 2018. Also third in Dubai last year in 2.21.55. There was a redemptive quality to that run: 3 months earlier, again in Frankfurt, was in a pack of three at halfway in 69.26 chasing Jemeli but faded badly to complete the course in 2.32.19 in 14th.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Doing my research, I have American women at 4th and eighth. Too high?

So do you think the proven major performers (Americans) can finish ahead of women quicker on flat courses?

Funny reading a thread about me and these threads a few hours ago that was deleted. Something like ‘does anybody actually read these’. Easy. Just don’t click. I will six marathons and a half on the go next month. Loving it

Tenth to finish should be Thomas Kiplagat whose PB of 2.06.00 when winning Seoul in 2019. Tenth in Valencia last December in 2.07.46

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

8th lady and second American should be Desi Linden. Has a great record here including winning in poor weather. PB when second here in 2.22.38 in 2011. Is now 38yo. More data in an hour.

Next should be Bedatu Hirpa with a PB of 2.21.32 when third in Frankfurt in 2018. Also third in Dubai last year in 2.21.55. There was a redemptive quality to that run: 3 months earlier, again in Frankfurt, was in a pack of three at halfway in 69.26 chasing Jemeli but faded badly to complete the course in 2.32.19 in 14th.

Tenth might be Besu Sado. Was 9th in Rio 2016 over 1500m and was 8th in Milan over this classic distance this last May. Twenty months ago I wrote about the women who made a debut in 2019. Sado was one:

Aussiestatman wrote:

I have named them: the best, the quickest, the hidden, overrated v underrated, and the disappointment. What do you think, Vegemite?

The hidden is next: Besu Sado, fourth in Amsterdam in 2.21.03. Before April had not run further than one mile competitively. Then ran a 10k and a half within six days of each other. Next was this.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Tenth to finish should be Thomas Kiplagat whose PB of 2.06.00 when winning Seoul in 2019. Tenth in Valencia last December in 2.07.46

Eleventh may be the legend: Yuki Kawauchi. Former winner here in the extreme wind and rain in 2018 and that was his fourth winning marathon that year by mid April. PB this year just before his 34th birthday of 2.07.27 when tenth at Lake Biwa. His previous best of 2.08.14 was from 2013. Yuki was sixth in New York in 2015.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Tenth to finish should be Thomas Kiplagat whose PB of 2.06.00 when winning Seoul in 2019. Tenth in Valencia last December in 2.07.46

Eleventh may be the legend: Yuki Kawauchi. Former winner here in the extreme wind and rain in 2018 and that was his fourth winning marathon that year by mid April. PB this year just before his 34th birthday of 2.07.27 when tenth at Lake Biwa. His previous best of 2.08.14 was from 2013. Yuki was sixth in New York in 2015.

I was wondering where you would rank Yuki. Seems reasonable, but I think he’ll be top 10. Top 5 if it’s cold and windy.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Tenth to finish should be Thomas Kiplagat whose PB of 2.06.00 when winning Seoul in 2019. Tenth in Valencia last December in 2.07.46

Eleventh may be the legend: Yuki Kawauchi. Former winner here in the extreme wind and rain in 2018 and that was his fourth winning marathon that year by mid April. PB this year just before his 34th birthday of 2.07.27 when tenth at Lake Biwa. His previous best of 2.08.14 was from 2013. Yuki was sixth in New York in 2015.

I wrote the following about Yuki almost 18 months ago:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Next and second among the home grown might be the irrefragable legend, Yuki Kawauchi. This was my profile from before Boston last year:

Yuki Kawauchi was last years winner in terrible conditions. Is a prolific marathoner. There will never be another runner who can match the number of marathons he runs and finishes in respectable times. Regularly runs in ten or more every year, always finishing, mostly under 2.09. By the end of 2017, he was joint holder of the world record for most marathons under 2.20 with 75, with Doug Kurtis. That record is now his alone. At that time, he also held the all-time bests for sub 2.19 [74], 2.18 [71], 2.17 [67], 2.16 [62], 2.15 [53], 2.14 [48], 2.13 [40] and 2.12 [25]. He has the ambition of completing 100 marathons under 2.20 before the Tokyo Olympics

in 2020. It is sometimes said wisely that there is only a limited number of marathons in every runner. Yuki is the exception to that rule.

And from the Gold Coast last year:

Next man to finish is the legend that is Yuki Kawauchi. His wife is running here too. Last year they both won their sections of the Vancouver marathon. There is so much to write, more later.

He wanted to reach the phenomenal milestone of one hundred marathons under 2.20 by the time of the Tokyo Olympics next year. I guess he has toned that down now. I believe he sits at 86 at the moment. His best time of 2.08.14 was in Seoul 2013 where he was 4th. He is 32yo and ranked 190. That ranking shows the flaws in its system, there would hardly be twenty men who could outrun him over the classic distance any given day, especially in harsh conditions. And all of them would be well rested and recuperated from their previous events, maybe only 2 or 3 marathons each year for all of them. 2013 was also a year when he won here on the Gold Coast, as well as second here last year. He and his wife’s Vancouver wins came three weeks after Yuki attempted to defend his Boston title and in between he ran a half in 64.27. Look up the word ‘prolific’ in the dictionary and you will see a picture of him there.

11th lady could be Yebrgual Melese with a PB of 2.19.36 when third in Dubai in 2018. Was second in Chicago in 2015 and fifth in 2016. Won Shanghai in 2018 and 2019, the former in 2.20.36.

Twelfth across the line could be the NZ NR holder for 10000 on the track, Jake Robertson. PB of 2.08.26 at this classic distance set when third at Lake Biwa in Japan in 2018.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Dejene Debela is my choice for first to finish. PB of 2.05.46 when second in Chicago two years ago. Also won Xiamen that year and second in Abu Dhabi in 2.07.06 in 2018 on a short course. Fourth in Eindhoven in 2017 in 2.07.10

Organisers added two more men. One could win the thing. More soon.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Dejene Debela is my choice for first to finish. PB of 2.05.46 when second in Chicago two years ago. Also won Xiamen that year and second in Abu Dhabi in 2.07.06 in 2018 on a short course. Fourth in Eindhoven in 2017 in 2.07.10

Organisers added two more men. One could win the thing. More soon.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Tenth might be Besu Sado. Was 9th in Rio 2016 over 1500m and was 8th in Milan over this classic distance this last May. Twenty months ago I wrote about the women who made a debut in 2019. Sado was one:

Aussiestatman wrote:

I have named them: the best, the quickest, the hidden, overrated v underrated, and the disappointment. What do you think, Vegemite?

The hidden is next: Besu Sado, fourth in Amsterdam in 2.21.03. Before April had not run further than one mile competitively. Then ran a 10k and a half within six days of each other. Next was this.

11th lady could be Yebrgual Melese with a PB of 2.19.36 when third in Dubai in 2018. Was second in Chicago in 2015 and fifth in 2016. Won Shanghai in 2018 and 2019, the former in 2.20.36.

Next should be Mary Wacera who was tenth in New York in 2019 in 2.27.36. Also 7th here that year in 2.28.33. I think she is able to carve up to 3 minutes off those times just going on her long history in road running. Has multiple quick times over the half from 2014 to 2018. Represented Kenya at World Half Champs in 2014 and 2016 with a silver and a bronze.