Just a guess, but I think he'll make a move around ~32k. This would fit with all of his previous marathons - if he can create a large (doesn't have to be ~30-40 like Tokyo, maybe only ~15 seconds) gap he won't have to deal with a sprint finish where anything can happen. I'm not just talking about being outkicked - in the rain someone could slip
You mean quietly crushing it while CJ pretends he can run away from the elite field every year?
Let me double down on this. He's the smartest american in the field. Why would you go out in the lead pack when you can hang back and wait for Kipchoge to blow everyone up?
That's not a bad point to be fair. But that's assuming enough people blow up enough for him to catch them. Doesnt look like mantz is going to get caught.