1) from recruiting experience I am more likely to go with the Windsor (non name program) kid with equal times to a Niwot kid (powerhouse program). Niwot kids are likely to be closer to their ceiling, and a Windsor kid likely has untapped potential.
2) Niwot's name gets them into bigger meets and on shorter notice, which plays a much bigger role in track where weather is iffy. Even if the Niwot and Windsor kid are equally fit, the Niwot kid will have faster PR because the Niwot kid will have run more meets against top tier competition, hence more likely to have a big breakout race.