Have to lead at some point wrote:
He declined the lead numerous times when he was the one who needed the pace to keep going. Shaking his head and expecting Chelimo to lead the whole way. Weak.
Hopefully we can agree on the fact that at a national level anyone taking the lead and pushing out in front of the field while seeking a time ends in disaster. See Johnson in the women's 1500 for reference.
However, this was not the case. Kincaid had two other guys to share duties. If they had worked as a group, as it appeared Chelimo wanted to do, they could have have increased their lead, rid themselves of the stress of battling for top three, and pulled it off. The situation required a quick decision and maybe he was not feeling it at that moment. I'm sure missing the standard by 4 seconds after mixing in a few 70's is regrettable but he has to shoulder the blame. If Kincaid had a "do over" I think he would have tried the more aggressive option.