MONACO PREDICTIONS, Jager sub 8:00, Coburn sub 9:00

Jager - 7:57

Coburn - 9:07

Jakob - 3:34 / Centro - 3:35

Semenya - 1:54.0

Wilson - 1:55.7

MakwalaFan wrote:

I noticed Ferguson Rotich is on the 1500 startlist. Interested to see how he goes.

Saruni and Amos were on the (non-DL) 800 entry list yesterday, but now Saruni has been taken off. Disappointingly no Korir either.

Korir is running the 800 in London two days later, which is a dl points race. I believe Doha and Eugene didn’t count for diamond league points. Interestingly enough, Amos is entered in both.

Agree on Rotich

aduck2022 wrote:

the track aint short .

it has got more of a bounce to it

that benefits middle distances .

what , 1/4 to 1/8 of centimeter extra at full stride

will add up by end of 800m or 1500m .

And unlike designer tracks for big championships

other tracks should not offer up benefits like this

and should be deemed illegal .

+1

It is unlikely to be short, it is the trampoline effect and a lack of wind (and probably no drug testing ?).

Prediction. Nobody goes with the pacers and all the times are slower than expected. Like every Diamond League meet this year.

It doesn't matter if the track is short. They simply have the athletes run a couple more meters to make it the correct distance.

Cheruiyot did 3:29 recently.

Woodstock wrote:

I think Jakob is good for at least a 3:32 if he's feeling good. He closed the last last 1km of a fast 5000 at 3:36 pace.

Jager doesn't break 8, I pick him 3rd in 8:05

Coburn breaks 9

Timothy runs 3:28

Jakob 3:33.78

Jager 8:02.22 2nd

Coburn 8:59.90

1500 winner 3:28.05

Conseslus looked TERRIBLE in Rabat. He'll be lucky to break 8:20 at this rate. Beatrice Chepkoech showed she's capable of front running a sub 9:00. I expect she'll drag Coburn, Chespol, Kiyeng and, possibly, Jeruto with her with Kiyeng out kicking them all for the win.

ex-runner wrote:

big bro wrote:

Filip may get close to that. He's extremely good. Clearly top 3 in the world right now.

Obviously Jakob won't get close to 3:29 if he's even running.

Filip ran 3:32 this year already, he's much better than his younger brother objectively right now. He could run 3:30 in the right race which could be Monaco.

I just remembered our little bet we made a few weeks ago when you claimed that Jake Wightman was an objectively much better runner than Jakob and was 'much more likely' to win gold in Tokyo than him.

vivalarepublica wrote:

Prediction. Nobody goes with the pacers and all the times are slower than expected. Like every Diamond League meet this year.

Not likely in Monaco!! Mentality always different here, people come with the expectations of running SB,PR,NR.....

Wait and see......

Timmy C - 3:28

Holusa - 3:30

Filip - 3:30

Jakob- 3:32

Centro - 3:32

Jager - 8:03

Coburn - 8:58

Frerichs - 8:59

douglas burke wrote:

Here are a few Monaco Predictions

Evan Jager 1st American under 8 minutes in the Steeple

Coburn 1st American Woman sub 9 minutes in Steeple

Jakob Ingebrightsen 3:32.9 in 1500 and beats Centro who runs 3:33

Semenya 1:52.9 in 800 WR

Ajee Wilson breaks her own AR

Always a great meet with fast times.

I don't think Coburn will ever go sub-9. I think Frerichs will go sub-9 in 2020 though. Hold me to it.

Jager won't break 8:00 in the steeple.

It's interesting that Nick Willis has just posted on Instagram stating that he is looking forward to Monaco and 'testing my form against my Australian, American, and European' rivals.

Maybe I'm reading too much into it, but I suspect Nick doesn't even see the Kenyans as competitors after Kiprop.

I guess this will be the first time that he and Jakob have raced? With Jakob in the form he is in, and with Nick only just coming back after injury (and, let's face it, getting on in years) this could be a passing of the torch between the present clean GOAT and the future clean GOAT.

Coevett wrote:

a passing of the torch between the present clean GOAT and the future clean GOAT.

There is only one GOAT per definition

Bird Expert wrote:

I don't think Coburn will ever go sub-9. I think Frerichs will go sub-9 in 2020 though. Hold me to it.

That's a fairly bold prediction when one takes into account that Coburn has run about 10 seconds faster in the 1500 and 12 seconds faster in the 3000. Don't see where Frerichs is capable of sub 9:00 in the steeple when she has only broken 9:00 in a flat 3k only twice but Coburn who has run 8:41 in the flat 3k and has been sub 9:10 in the steeple 5 times is not. So far Frerichs 9:03 race is an aberration (next fastest time is 9:18.69), whereas Coburns career has been marked by steady improvement to her 9:02 race (12 times sub 9:15 vs. 1 time for Frerichs). The only other time they raced this year other than the US championships which was more of a tactical race was in Norway, where Coburn beat her by 11 seconds. Sorry, but I don't see a scenario where she breaks 9:00, but Coburn does not. She is younger (25 vs Coburn's 27), but she lacks speed and will have a hard time finding someone to draft off of (as she did Coburn in the WC race) once Coburn is gone.

Are they showing IAAF races on TV in the U.S.? I'm not finding anything on ESPN's schedule.

I tin it's on the Olympic channel. All the DL meets have been on the NBC family of stations - NBC, NBCSN or Olympic Channel.

We have an article up about the American's quest for history in the steeplechase:

http://www.letsrun.com/news/2018/07/history-monaco-will-american-break-800-900-barrier-steeplechase-monaco/