Jed Clampett wrote:
Majestic Matt said he ran 1:58.0 for the 800 indoors.
The correct answer should have been, "you are already a 1:55 guy outdoors."
The stupidity of most of the responders on Let's Run is amazing!
If you said do more long runs, I think you are one of the few sharp ones.
Majestic also ran 24.1!!! He already has speed. Besides the 800 is 50% aerobic, why do you train him as a 400 guy?
If you were right, he wouldn't have run 1:56 high in outdoors. I guess even with being able to read his outdoor time since this thread is a year old, you still couldn't predict right.
Op, you asked what you could realistically run in college. There are so many variables, it is really hard to predict 4 years from now. I'd say there is a 90% chance you'll end up running between 1:50 and 1:55 in college. 5% chance you go faster, 5% chance you fail to improve. Just go with it and the times will take care of themselves.
On word of advice: write off your freshman year. You are adapting to harder workouts, more mileage, and distractions from school and partying, etc. You may very well run some prs as a freshman. But don't get frustrated if they don't come as soon and as dramatically as you think your workouts suggest. I've seen too many athletes struggle with that transition, get frustrated, and either overtrain or quit as a result.
I had very similar high school times as well as freshman year xc times as you. I barely improved my freshman year of college and ended up dropping to the 400. Looking back, I should have at least given myself another year before dropping down and giving up on the 8. I wish somebody has told me to just relax and let the training work over time, I wanted too much too soon. I let a few killer workouts make me think I should have been running 1:53 or 1:54 right away in February and anything slower felt like a failure as I ran 156 to 158 every single meet, each perceived failure resulting in me trying even harder in practice when I was already redlined from the hardest training I had ever done.