Sally Vix wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
3/2000 = first Federal Reserve induced stock market bubble
demographics = 1940 6.8% population over age 65, 2016 figure 15.2%; that number increased 36% 2006-2016; fewer productive workers, ie more takers than makers
your belief = naive in my view
my opinion = take it any way you like
market = will decide which view is correct
Can we PLEASE quit bringing 2000 into the equation. Let's focus on how the market how done long-term - (11%) or even short-term (20%). Name one other investment that even remotely approaches those numbers. Name one.
Oil futures are up about 25% on average since Christmas Eve. GDX (gold miners) is also up about 25% since September of 2018. This doesn't even count derivatives like options and credit default swaps.
Housing is up like 100% or more in some areas. I haven't checked physical high yield bonds but HYG is up like 10% since Christmas so I'm sure you can find some 20-30% winners in there