Earnie wrote:
agip wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
EPS has peaked this cycle.
EPS *growth* has peaked in this cycle, but not EPS.
Earnings Growth: For Q4 2018, the estimated earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is 11.4%. If 11.4% is the actual growth rate for the quarter, it will mark the fifth straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth for the index.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
agip wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
The global economy is weak and has been for over a year.
Igy
the global economy is not weak and hasn't been weak. it is showing some signs of slowdown, is all.
International markets began declining one year ago. I suspect these numbers will continue to weaken and it is far more than trade policy and high priced smart phones.
Igy
agip is right again wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
agip wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
The global economy is weak and has been for over a year.
Igy
the global economy is not weak and hasn't been weak. it is showing some signs of slowdown, is all.
International markets began declining one year ago. I suspect these numbers will continue to weaken and it is far more than trade policy and high priced smart phones.
Igy
The global economy has plateaued but shows no signs of falling off a cliff in 2019. Assuming no major disruptions, a gradual slowdown seems most likely.
https://www.conference-board.org/data/globaloutlook/
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Earnie wrote:
agip wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
EPS has peaked this cycle.
EPS *growth* has peaked in this cycle, but not EPS.
Earnings Growth: For Q4 2018, the estimated earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is 11.4%. If 11.4% is the actual growth rate for the quarter, it will mark the fifth straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth for the index.
The miracle of non-GAAP accounting. Good luck with $170/share 2019 forecast.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
agip is right again wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
agip wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
The global economy is weak and has been for over a year.
Igy
the global economy is not weak and hasn't been weak. it is showing some signs of slowdown, is all.
International markets began declining one year ago. I suspect these numbers will continue to weaken and it is far more than trade policy and high priced smart phones.
Igy
The global economy has plateaued but shows no signs of falling off a cliff in 2019. Assuming no major disruptions, a gradual slowdown seems most likely.
https://www.conference-board.org/data/globaloutlook/
I disagree, these reports are always overly optimistic. agip is only regurgitating the Bullish narrative. There is nothing here other than what is promoted by 99% of the financial media. Keep in mind in 2006 Ben Bernanke said housing was strong and housing debt was not a threat to the economy. Janet Yellen said last year there would not be another financial crisis in our lifetime.
But believe what you wish.
Igy
agip is right again wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
agip is right again wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
agip wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
The global economy is weak and has been for over a year.
Igy
the global economy is not weak and hasn't been weak. it is showing some signs of slowdown, is all.
International markets began declining one year ago. I suspect these numbers will continue to weaken and it is far more than trade policy and high priced smart phones.
Igy
The global economy has plateaued but shows no signs of falling off a cliff in 2019. Assuming no major disruptions, a gradual slowdown seems most likely.
https://www.conference-board.org/data/globaloutlook/
I disagree, these reports are always overly optimistic. agip is only regurgitating the Bullish narrative. There is nothing here other than what is promoted by 99% of the financial media. Keep in mind in 2006 Ben Bernanke said housing was strong and housing debt was not a threat to the economy. Janet Yellen said last year there would not be another financial crisis in our lifetime.
But believe what you wish.
Igy
Overly optimistic? Would you prefer that I use the October IMF projection that you referenced? That one projects significantly higher growth than the one I used.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
DGTD Contrarian Indicator alert! wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
DGTD Contrarian Indicator alert! wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Like being down $43 on your AAPL. Enjoy the next 6 hours of trading Troll.
Sounds like a BUY signal!
Boy, has your advice sucked lately.
LOL. Whose advice has sucked? You are routinely bad at stock picking.
You are an idiot, the stock is still down $39 from where he bought it. Now that is bad stock picking and not me. Besides likely to be $120 by July 1st.
DGTD Contrarian Indicator alert! wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
DGTD Contrarian Indicator alert! wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
DGTD Contrarian Indicator alert! wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Like being down $43 on your AAPL. Enjoy the next 6 hours of trading Troll.
Sounds like a BUY signal!
Boy, has your advice sucked lately.
LOL. Whose advice has sucked? You are routinely bad at stock picking.
You are an idiot, the stock is still down $39 from where he bought it. Now that is bad stock picking and not me. Besides likely to be $120 by July 1st.
The discussion is about YOUR buy signal, not what someone else paid. But nice try at diverting the discussion.
Contrarian indicator wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Say wha? wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
seattle prattle wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Financial Advisor wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
I would assume at the bottom of this cycle Hussman will outperform you and all the equity ETFs going back to year 2000.
Agree. Hussman’s signature fund is designed to lose less than most others during a bear market. Of course the caveat is that it also badly trails the field in a bull market.
So what’s important to you? Losing less, or making more.
One Week Performance:
HSGFX +0.33%
TNA -7.96%
Igy, please tell me you're not serious. The preposterousness of the comparison is ludicrous.
FYI, I sold a very small fraction of my TNA yesterday (less than 1%). I kid you not, i sold it at a profit of 308% .
Sorry if i can't take one week performance comparisons seriously.
Yes, I was having fun. Good work on your TNA. I do think you will be happy you sold here.
Having fun? You basically told that other guy that he was a bad financial planner because he pointed out how ludicrous that post was.
Actually it could be true and still I would be having fun. TNA is likely on the cusp of a multi-year decline and HSGFX on a multi-year upswing. It is all a question of “is this the end of the beginning, or the beginning of the end.” Either way it will not matter because most will lose money from here on TNA and make money on HSGFX. My opinion of course.
I guess I’ll buy some TNA.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Contrarian indicator wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Say wha? wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
seattle prattle wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Financial Advisor wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
I would assume at the bottom of this cycle Hussman will outperform you and all the equity ETFs going back to year 2000.
Agree. Hussman’s signature fund is designed to lose less than most others during a bear market. Of course the caveat is that it also badly trails the field in a bull market.
So what’s important to you? Losing less, or making more.
One Week Performance:
HSGFX +0.33%
TNA -7.96%
Igy, please tell me you're not serious. The preposterousness of the comparison is ludicrous.
FYI, I sold a very small fraction of my TNA yesterday (less than 1%). I kid you not, i sold it at a profit of 308% .
Sorry if i can't take one week performance comparisons seriously.
Yes, I was having fun. Good work on your TNA. I do think you will be happy you sold here.
Having fun? You basically told that other guy that he was a bad financial planner because he pointed out how ludicrous that post was.
Actually it could be true and still I would be having fun. TNA is likely on the cusp of a multi-year decline and HSGFX on a multi-year upswing. It is all a question of “is this the end of the beginning, or the beginning of the end.” Either way it will not matter because most will lose money from here on TNA and make money on HSGFX. My opinion of course.
I guess I’ll buy some TNA.
.....and boy did that lose money.....
jesseriley wrote:
Let’s remember to “price in” the Trump National Emergency Threat from our fave Stable Genius; er, de-stabilizing genius.
EIi wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
HSGFX outperforming TNA on a YTD basis by +4%, boy that escalated quickly.
And could reverse itself just as quickly.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Wanna make a bet on Q1 2019?
mister wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Wanna make a bet on Q1 2019?
Add to the 4 years of "SOON" predictions.
You're flattering yourself if you think the recent market craziness correlates with anything you have posted over the past 4 years.