Bocephus wrote:
It’s sad to see that Igy was busy posting on Christmas while the rest of were enjoying the holiday with our families.
New Years Day too.
#lonesome Igy
Bocephus wrote:
It’s sad to see that Igy was busy posting on Christmas while the rest of were enjoying the holiday with our families.
New Years Day too.
#lonesome Igy
Ben There wrote:
Bocephus wrote:
It’s sad to see that Igy was busy posting on Christmas while the rest of were enjoying the holiday with our families.
New Years Day too.
#lonesome Igy
While you were recovering from your hangover I ran a New Year’s Day 5k and afterwards took down the Christmas decorations outside and inside. Temperatures for the race was mid-teens and 30s when working outside the house. That still gave me plenty of time to duel with the LRC trolls while watching bowl games.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
That still gave me plenty of time to duel with the LRC trolls
Not a bad way to start the New Year. Doing something you really enjoy.
☝️?
mellon wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
That still gave me plenty of time to duel with the LRC trolls
Not a bad way to start the New Year. Doing something you really enjoy.
So says the guy with nothing concrete to say and who’s only posts are Igy or K5 related.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
mellon wrote:
Not a bad way to start the New Year. Doing something you really enjoy.
So says the guy with nothing concrete to say and who’s only posts are Igy or K5 related.
mellon? He’s had a lot to say regarding the topic of this thread. Try to keep up.
Try to keep up wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
So says the guy with nothing concrete to say and who’s only posts are Igy or K5 related.
mellon? He’s had a lot to say regarding the topic of this thread. Try to keep up.
Post one.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Try to keep up wrote:
mellon? He’s had a lot to say regarding the topic of this thread. Try to keep up.
Post one.
Okay.
mellon wrote:
And then there are those that have a belief system where there is never a time to buy stock.
Definitely the right approach for those who believe a 60% drop is always right around the corner.
Just like I said: “the guy with nothing concrete to say and who’s posts are Igy or K5 related.”
That's a lot more concrete than anything you've posted on this page.
Jess Sayin wrote:
That's a lot more concrete than anything you've posted on this page.
I'm not sure how effective making investment decisions based on projected occurrences that will happen 5 -10 years out is.
I assume that's what you mean by "SOON". I think of"SOON"more in the 1 year range. That's just me.
Also, I don't post comments, articles, charts, and graphs pointing to what I think will happen based on historical data.
Because there is none. As I've stated, I'm in the "It's Different this Time" camp. That may change, but that's where I'm at now and have been since I first posted on here about 5 years ago.
Let the name calling and insults begin.
mellon,
You have never explained why you think “this time is different.” By the way AAPL just showed that is probably incorrect thinking.
Igy
tomorrow will be interesting after this Apple warning. Apple has never had a high valuation - its PE is 13ish, so it may not fall much.
but the more interesting tell will be to see if the market can climb a wall of worry - to see if declines like apple's china sales have been priced into the market, inocculating it against further negative surprises.
I'm not predicting anything other than an if/then sort of statement: if the market as a whole shrugs off the apple warning, then many more will feel safe to jump back in.
If the market falls just a percent or less, then there's no signal, just noise.
If the market has a seriously bad day tomorrow, that's probably quite bearish - it suggests there is still too much optimism in stock prices despite the quite low valuations. Compared to 25 year averages anyway.
agip,
If you just look at a one year S&P 500 chart it does not look good. Furthermore, if you look at the stocks that took this market up, they are struggling. There is simply nothing that can replace them. Not supportive of valuations. Now EPS has peaked this cycle. Fed in a box. Global economy in decline. Looming Washington soap opera. Market peaked September, Bear Market has started. Question remains how far we go down. If we break 2,346 convincingly the next stop is 2,100 or the 2015-11/6/2016 shelf. From there we will see.
Igy
Jess Sayin wrote:
That's a lot more concrete than anything you've posted on this page.
The AAPL news I posted evidently changed that. Ha, ha, Here is more:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/02/jeffrey-gundlach-on-apple-warning-this-is-the-kind-of-stuff-that-happens-in-a-bear-market.htmlOh, come on! Is it any news that China has declared war on the iPhone lately? It shouldn't be.
It's in the common press:
Chinese firms ask workers to shun iPhones, employees getting subsidies to buy Chinese made cell phones, and attempts by Chinese courts to ban the import of the phones outright. This is last week's news.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
The AAPL news I posted evidently changed that. Ha, ha, Here is more:
That link is the first AAPL news you posted.
Do the math wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
The AAPL news I posted evidently changed that. Ha, ha, Here is more:
That link is the first AAPL news you posted.
RE: Trews is Wall Street’s Head Muppet 1/2/2019 4:25PM - in reply to mellon
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mellon,
You have never explained why you think “this time is different.” By the way AAPL just showed that is probably incorrect thinking.
Igy
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Do the math wrote:
That link is the first AAPL news you posted.
RE: Trews is Wall Street’s Head Muppet 1/2/2019 4:25PM - in reply to mellon
Reply Return to Index Report Post
mellon,
You have never explained why you think “this time is different.” By the way AAPL just showed that is probably incorrect thinking.
Igy
Exactly. You mentioned no news.
seattle prattle wrote:
Oh, come on! Is it any news that China has declared war on the iPhone lately? It shouldn't be.
It's in the common press:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/chinese-firms-ask-workers-to-shun-iphones-buy-huawei-devices/articleshow/67240507.cmsChinese firms ask workers to shun iPhones, employees getting subsidies to buy Chinese made cell phones, and attempts by Chinese courts to ban the import of the phones outright. This is last week's news.
You’re kidding yourself if you think AAPL woes are just China. Pushing a $1,000 phone at a cyclical high was a big mistake. But like AMZN these large market cap tech companies flew a little to close to the Sun.