Take it from one who knows wrote:
How so? wrote:
Too bad your head is placed in an area where you cannot see them
You must be a lot of fun at parties.
That makes a lot of sense.
Take it from one who knows wrote:
How so? wrote:
Too bad your head is placed in an area where you cannot see them
You must be a lot of fun at parties.
That makes a lot of sense.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
You will retire at 50.
Only if I can turn the clock back 16 years.
agip wrote:
And that's a wrap
SP 500 up around 22% dead.
Global stocks up even more - +24.5%
What a year
Cheers, everyone.
Now we get to do it all over again!
I'm starting to second guess my prediction in the 10% correction contest about a year and half ago.
I'm now thinking my 12/31/2018 prediction may be too early. Oh well, I have to stick with it now!
I am thinking of selling a big loser now in afterhours to get a tax write-off as capital loss for this year (tax loss harvesting). But i think it's such a notorious loser a bunch of people are doing this and it is likely to bounce back as soon as the capital loss selling is over (January 2018) and i will miss out on the bounce back. I'm another Fitbit investor (FIT). WHat would you do?
Maybe one of the advisors on the thread can offer a suggestion.
I'm just an Economist.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-29/several-simple-suppositions-and-suspicions-2018mellon wrote:
agip wrote:
And that's a wrap
SP 500 up around 22% dead.
Global stocks up even more - +24.5%
What a year
Cheers, everyone.
Now we get to do it all over again!
I'm starting to second guess my prediction in the 10% correction contest about a year and half ago.
I'm now thinking my 12/31/2018 prediction may be too early. Oh well, I have to stick with it now!
mellon wrote:
Maybe one of the advisors on the thread can offer a suggestion.
I'm just an Economist.
The dismal science.
Buy high, sell low wrote:
I am thinking of selling a big loser now in afterhours to get a tax write-off as capital loss for this year (tax loss harvesting). But i think it's such a notorious loser a bunch of people are doing this and it is likely to bounce back as soon as the capital loss selling is over (January 2018) and i will miss out on the bounce back. I'm another Fitbit investor (FIT). WHat would you do?
Answer is on page 6:
http://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001447599/911b996c-e1ae-451b-aeb1-eb6a0461cdcf.pdfThx but figured out it is in an IRA so selling a couple of other losers instead.
Curious, what would be your interpretation of page six?
Failure = Personal attacks
Believe me! I can understand your frustration.
Keep the faith. I'm sure that day you've been dreaming of will come. When we can here you shout from the roof tops:
"SEE I TOLD YOU BLIND STUPID MUPPET INVESTORS. NOW SELL YOUR STOCKS WHILE IT'S AT THE BOTTOM LIKE I SAID YOU WOULD. HA! HA! HA! HA!"
mellon wrote:
Failure = Personal attacks
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Curious, what would be your interpretation of page six?
My interpretation is that page 6 might as well be the end of the report. They are bleeding money at an increasing rate.
mellon wrote:
Failure = Personal attacks
Believe me! I can understand your frustration.
Keep the faith. I'm sure that day you've been dreaming of will come. When we can here you shout from the roof tops:
"SEE I TOLD YOU BLIND STUPID MUPPET INVESTORS. NOW SELL YOUR STOCKS WHILE IT'S AT THE BOTTOM LIKE I SAID YOU WOULD. HA! HA! HA! HA!"
You sound angry. Here is some Holiday Cheer to ring in the New Year!
https://mobile.twitter.com/hussmanjp/status/945688923921141762?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5EtweetBuy high, sell low wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Curious, what would be your interpretation of page six?
My interpretation is that page 6 might as well be the end of the report. They are bleeding money at an increasing rate.
That was my point. FitBit is just one of many businesses that are allowed to survive on the back of Federal Reserve and global central bank easy money. If you look under the surface there are many similar companies that remain afloat thru hype and not sustainable demand. One of the most dangerous markets in my view. Of course one can assume the next year will be like the last, or the next eight years like the last. One can hope, but the history of the market does not support that view.
Good luck.
Igy
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
mellon wrote:
Failure = Personal attacks
Believe me! I can understand your frustration.
Keep the faith. I'm sure that day you've been dreaming of will come. When we can here you shout from the roof tops:
"SEE I TOLD YOU BLIND STUPID MUPPET INVESTORS. NOW SELL YOUR STOCKS WHILE IT'S AT THE BOTTOM LIKE I SAID YOU WOULD. HA! HA! HA! HA!"
You sound angry. Here is some Holiday Cheer to ring in the New Year!
https://mobile.twitter.com/hussmanjp/status/945688923921141762?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
"To me, this is amazing: people post charts they have no idea how they are made." Michael Harris @ priceactionlab.com
That’s because they choose not to look.
Just like $141 S&P 500 EPS or “cash on the sidelines.”
Much preferable to believe in fantasy my friend. It supports the business of selling more stocks.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
That’s because they choose not to look.
Just like $141 S&P 500 EPS or “cash on the sidelines.”
Much preferable to believe in fantasy my friend. It supports the business of selling more stocks.
What is the R- squared of CAPE 10 to future 10 year returns; from 1881 to 2017 ?
What would CAPE 10 have told equity holders in September 1929 ?
CAPE 10 is inflation adjusted; does it have a higher R-squared for nominal or inflation adjusted future 10 year returns ?
How does one take data from NIPA ; imputations and all, to make margin adjustments to the S&P 500 ?
“What is the R- squared of CAPE 10 to future 10 year returns; from 1881 to 2017?”
I won’t live that long.
“What would CAPE 10 have told equity holders in September 1929 ?”
That they were going to lose a lot of money.
“CAPE 10 is inflation adjusted; does it have a higher R-squared for nominal or inflation adjusted future 10 year returns ?”
You tell me,
“How does one take data from NIPA ; imputations and all, to make margin adjustments to the S&P 500 ?”
I could care less, the market it grossly overvalued by a variety of metrics. If you believe differently, then buy some more.