asg...
Two things: First, you're missing / misunderstanding my point. In accordance with the original poster's wishes, I stayed away from making a pro-Minimalist argument. Instead what I offered was the notion that for the last 30 or so years, we've accepted as gospel whatever the shoe companies and the ensuing tribal knowledge of the running community had told us. If anyone had asked the relevant questions then, and applied an ounce of scientific skepticism to the products that we were purchasing for millions of dollars a year, perhaps we wouldn't be having this conversation right now. But the fact remains that no one did ask those questions then, so here are. My post was merely encouraging people to approach both traditional shoes and minimalist shoes de novo - with a clean slate and without bias, as should have been done for the last three decades.
Second, you are correct that the hypothetical study to which you refer has not been done for barefoot shoes. Only recently has a study been done examining those questions on traditional shoes. I think the results will surprise you. Additionally, a recent study found that running truly barefoot and in Vibrams showed a significant improvement in running economy, which is often strongly determined by biomechanics, which plays right into injury rates. Finally, look at the work Daniel Lieberman at Harvard has done.
I will offer you these references, though, if you're interested and have access to scientific literature (if nothing else, you can read abstracts at NIH's PUBMED site):
"The effects of three different levels of footwear stability on pain outcomes in women runners: a randomized control trial," Ryan et al, British Journal of Sports Medicine 2010
"Is your prescription of distance running shoes evidence-based?" Richards et al BJSM 2009
"Foot strike patterns and collision forces in habitually barefoot versus shod runners" Lieberman et al Nature 2010
"Biomechanical and physiological comparison of barefoot and two shod conditions in experienced barefoot runners," Squadrone et al Journal of Sports Medicine and Physical Fitness 2009.