Dear Wejo,
Everyone expects that everyone will near pr efforts to make the team. When has that happened? It has happened very rarely!
I think the US trials marathon record was set in 1980 and that was the last time 3 guys broke 2:11:00 since that time no has come close to running sub 5:02 per mile.
In 2004 Culpepper barely ran under 5:02 pace and ran 2:11:42 in great conditions on a flat course.
A 2:13 puts you on the team most years and you never finish worst than 6th place.
A 2:12 puts on the most years (except in 80 and 84)and you never finishes worse than 4th!
This OTM course is not fast and some are saying rather slow so I don't know where you getting the 5 secs from?