I'm predicting Webb with a new AR 3:47. If he ran 3:51 all alone at Drake (hardly a platform for that) and outkicked Lagat (considered by some as world's best miler) by nearly a full second in the last 100M and is coming back to Pre, then what's holding him back?
Webb will fall apart after 1200m, he will never break Steve Scott's record. Borjakovski will destroy robinson. Motram vs. Bekele will be a good battle. I hope buster comes out on top. Who gives a .... about the 200m. They are all doped up anyways.
200- gotta give it to Spearmon in 19.70
mile- Lagat or Webb will win, the time will be under 3:50.
2 mile- Bekele FTW, but Teg to break the AR in around 8:09. Fam will follow Teg and probly break the AR himself, just not as fast as Teg. I cant see Ritz going faster than about 8:14.
I picked Webb for 4th because of his inconsistency. After a spectacular performance last week, I can't see him putting another good race together and beating 3 of the best milers in the world.
But perhaps my prediction was a bit hasty there. Afterall, he always does well at Pre. And since Lagat, Kipchirchir, and Komen are probably not in peak form yet...Alan could win I supposed. who knows? I wouldn't be surprised if he ran a 3:47 and I wouldn't be surprised if he ran a 4:01
Spearmon or Powell for the 200, x-man, wariner and crawford wont be even close. I'm going to say Spearmon though and 19.6 summet if conditions are good, he didnt even try in his 19.82 race and ran a crazy quick time
Red Right 88 wrote:
Webb will fall apart after 1200m, he will never break Steve Scott's record. Borjakovski will destroy robinson. Motram vs. Bekele will be a good battle. I hope buster comes out on top. Who gives a .... about the 200m. They are all doped up anyways.
you made one good prediction: the 800m (even if you did spell borzo's name wrong). even if webb doesn't get it this weekend, and i don't think he will, the mile AR is his for the taking. he ran 3:48-high when he was 22, and shows no signs of slowing down. it's just a matter of getting in the right race.
Mottram vs Bekele will not be a good battle. Mottram's clearly not in the kind of shape we're used to seeing. a 10k loss to a lightly trained Ritz, then a (for him) weak showing in the mile... he's not going to be close in this 2mi. aside from Webb, he's my favorite distance runner, so i hope he gets all this figured out soon.
Wow Eliud Kipchoge is running a mile! That should be interesting.
My predictions
I think Alan Webb is going to win in AR time of 3:46 with the Kenyans right behind him.
I think the Russian will win the 800m with Robinson close behind.
Familgetti will win the two mile and Wariner will win the 200m.
Just kidding about Fam winning the 2 mile.
Tadesse will win with Ben Limo, Craig Mottram, and Kenenisa Bekele hot on his heels. Songok and Feleke will be right with those guys with a lap to go but fade back. Winning time is 8:02.
For Americans Fam edges out Tegenkamp in 8:08 AR. Graham and Goucher run under 8:20 and Dathan Ritzenheim DNFs.
wow, that 200 does look good. Too bad it's missing the top sprinter in the world right now................a certain chicken homosexual.
teg only ran 8:16 or whatever last year and thats what he supplied as what he could run. i think you guys might be too excited about teg in this race. then again maybe he is going try and run a little faster in this one this year.
no way ritz dnfs. he doesen't have a history of that does he. i think he has the ability to cruise in somewhere in the high teens which would be good for him.
farklet wrote:
teg only ran 8:16 or whatever last year and thats what he supplied as what he could run. i think you guys might be too excited about teg in this race. then again maybe he is going try and run a little faster in this one this year.
no way ritz dnfs. he doesen't have a history of that does he. i think he has the ability to cruise in somewhere in the high teens which would be good for him.
I think that Teg had stated after his race last year that he was disappointed that he had not gone with the leading Americans when they took off after the leaders. He felt that he could have gone a couple of seconds faster. With his experience from last summer, I would think that even if his conditioning is about the same that he could go 8:12-8:14. He seems to be "pacing" himself this season, so that he can run his best in the late season. I would expect him to run a few seconds faster than last year, but 8:09 and 8:10 (as some have predicted) seems a bit too fast for early season!!! Good luck to the Americans for another great PRE 2 mile!!!!!!!
all africans 8:15
all africans 8:15
something's wrong with the editor...
once again
all africans less than 8:10
teg, barrios (8:10, 8:15)
fam, gouch, ritz More than 8:15
Its going to be crappy weather wise-no one is running under 3:50 in the mile.
steeple start list for Pre
*Paul Koech (Kenya)
*Steve Slattery
*Tom Brooks
*Daniel Lincoln
*Josh McAdams
*Ezekiel Kemboi (Kenya)
*Max King
*Kim Hogarth (New Zealand) Western Colorado
*Yoshitaka Iwamizu (Japan)
*Nicodemus Naimadu (Kenya) Abilene Christian
*Brian Olinger
Good to see some D2 guys run against some fast competition.
I predict Fam runs 8:25 then says he could've run the AR if he wanted to.
Not a lot of love for Teg. I think he'll be the first American and is the only one with a shot at the AR.
200 - Carter
800 - Robinson
1mi - Komen
2mi - Bekele