Yeah, I think it takes a while for someone to bring his/her aerobic threshold within 5% of his/her lactate threshold. It's not like that is easily acheived, and I think those who can do that are those who run 2:06/7 marathons. If Hall ran a marathin in April, I would think that a 2:10 in London would be a good start for him. Sure he might be able to go faster some day, but has he ever done marathon type training? Doubt it.
Curp has definitely run a few marathons (placed in the top 6 in one of our Oly trials, but can't remember which one)
Here are a few pictures of him and some other classics; Mark definitely ran with the worlds best. His 1/2 marathon record which lasted over 20 years (against other U.S. runners) is very impressive.
Cabada is not running the XC champs in Boulder. So take him off your list. Move Solinsky and Rohatinsky up, and insert Culpepper in top 15.
I agree with you completely. However if he prepares properly for the Marathon, he has the potential for running very fast.
In any case, I wish him the best. It is great to see so many young Americans running well right now.
irun wrote:
Come February in Boulder...
1. Dathan Ritzenhein
2. Ryan Hall
3. Jorge Torres
4. Abdi Abdirahman
5. Matt Tegenkamp
6. Fernando Cabada
7. Adam Goucher
8. Fasil Bizuneh
9. Ian Dobson
10. Jason Hartmann
11. Max King
12. Andrew Carlson
13. Josh Rohatinsky
14. Chris Solinsky
15. Dan Browne
Ritzenhein was able to hang with a 26:53 10k runner in Edinburgh through a 9.2km race in mud. Hall ran like 26:53 10k runner on the roads for 21k. They both train at altitude and will have experience sloshing through the snow on long tempo runs. I think it'll be a good race.
Not a bad guess. I think I'd swap Tegenkamp and Jorge though. I do think that Hall's the clear favorite but that Ritzenhein just may rise to the ocassion. Going to be interesting.
If Rohat is running, and I have no idea if this is a target race for him, look for a very good performance. He is consistent and will fight his guts out. Maybe he can't lay down these times with this field but I can see a breakout for him coming.
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