27:08 is no joke. But there are a bunch of guys with multiple years of eligibility left that are starting to get into striking distance of the record.
Who, if anyone, will break it?
27:08 is no joke. But there are a bunch of guys with multiple years of eligibility left that are starting to get into striking distance of the record.
Who, if anyone, will break it?
meeses wrote:
27:08 is no joke. But there are a bunch of guys with multiple years of eligibility left that are starting to get into striking distance of the record.
Who, if anyone, will break it?
Which runners are within striking distance?
Seeing as they are sophomores, I'd say that Charles Hicks, Ky Robinson, and Cole Sprout have a shot at it in the next 2 or 3 years. Think about it, three guys who have run 27:40ish training together for the remainder of their eligibility. It isn't crazy for me to think that at least one of those guys has a shot at it.
Yeah you've got the Stanford trio, then add in Nico Young and Colin Sahlman and you've got a decent shot at one of them improving enough in 2-3 years to take down the record.
it is time wrote:
Seeing as they are sophomores, I'd say that Charles Hicks, Ky Robinson, and Cole Sprout have a shot at it in the next 2 or 3 years. Think about it, three guys who have run 27:40ish training together for the remainder of their eligibility. It isn't crazy for me to think that at least one of those guys has a shot at it.
27:40's is still a big jump to 27:08. They have run out of time to do it this year since they're only really going to run that sort of time at Payton Jordan/Sound Running type of meets. They are now in championship season and I highly doubt someone's going to go out at 27 flat pace in any of those races. So those three guys will all be 21 next spring when they get another attempt at a fast paced 10,000m race. It would be impressive if one or two of them run in the 27:20's next year. Even then they're still 15-20 seconds off the record.
The stars would have to align for anyone to break it. Cam Levins has the 2nd fastest ever time with 27:27.96.... Chelenga's record is insane and I won't be surprised if it's still standing ten years from now. The top 10 list could be rewritten with a bunch of 27:10-27:25 guys and Chelenga would still be sitting on top.
meeses wrote:
Yeah you've got the Stanford trio, then add in Nico Young and Colin Sahlman and you've got a decent shot at one of them improving enough in 2-3 years to take down the record.
Both Nico and Colin are just as competitive in the 5000m and there is no reason for them to run 25 laps in spikes. A lot of guys like Solinski, Kennedy and Fisher, never ran one in college. Ritz did and got a stress fracture.
I think Connor Mantz has a really good chance at breaking it but maybe not this year. If he wins NCAA x-country in the fall and has a solid mileage base in the winter, that record is going down and it has his name written all over it.
meeses wrote:
27:08 is no joke. But there are a bunch of guys with multiple years of eligibility left that are starting to get into striking distance of the record.
Who, if anyone, will break it?
It's more a question of opportunity. Will a college guy run in a pro-centric 10,000m race like The Ten? I think the days of those super-fast 10K races that attract pros as part of a college meet (like Payton Jordan or Stanford Invite) are done. So, it'll be in a pro meet that won't count for NCAA purposes (if that matters). I tend to agree that if Nico or the likes of the Stanford guys are in The Ten it could go down very soon.