Monkeys typing wrote:
Harambe wrote:
This is not correct. 30 year olds don’t die at the same rate as 80 year olds. See the link I’ve posted like 100000 times in this thread for some data
I read that comment differently.
I think he's saying that if, for example, 80 year olds die at 10x the rate of 50 year olds of all causes then 70 year olds die at 10x the rate of 50 year olds from Covid. That is the proportion of "all cause" and "covid" within an age group is approximately constant.
This seems to be the case, at least for age groups above 40 or so. It doesn't hold for younger age groups, presumably because deaths due to trauma are a more significant portion of all deaths in those age groups.
Ok yes that’s right — I’ve posted data showing that 4 times now in this thread. From the BMJ paper it holds down to ~20 year olds or so (at least in the UK).
I don’t understand how that fact is noteworthy or indicative of COVID over reporting. Nearly all diseases follow the same morbidity trend. If anything it’s confirmatory that it matches so well! Getting COVID roughly doubles your risk of dying in the next year was one way I’ve seen it phrased. That’s big!