67 (not 57) deaths reported on the day this thread was created 50 days ago.
81 deaths reported in the last 7 days.
No spike yet. But there is always a possibility.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
67 (not 57) deaths reported on the day this thread was created 50 days ago.
81 deaths reported in the last 7 days.
No spike yet. But there is always a possibility.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
MarathonMind wrote:
Deaths will lag 2-3 weeks behind infection rates because that is how long the course of fatal infections takes.
We're now just seeing the jump up in deaths the past two days...
17% increase in deaths in the in 7-day average over the last 6 days.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
brazen2 wrote:
67 (not 57) deaths reported on the day this thread was created 50 days ago.
81 deaths reported in the last 7 days.
No spike yet. But there is always a possibility.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
35 deaths reported today. Could this be it?
brazen2 wrote:
67 (not 57) deaths reported on the day this thread was created 50 days ago.
81 deaths reported in the last 7 days.
No spike yet. But there is always a possibility.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
The originator of the thread -- who was pushing the spike it happening story -- stated the deaths as 57. Safe to say that was the count at that time.
Looking at the stats now (worldometers.info) the daily deaths in Georgia on that day us now 78.
Somehow 21 extra folks got added.
On 7/9, the number was 8.
Safe to say that 5/21 was not the start of any kind of spike
Anyone want to answer the below question?:
Why has GA been managing its plague well while it's raging out of control in TX AZ CA FL?
Although to be fair, GA has a higher than average per capita death rate than those states.
Ranked in the US:
AZ: 16th worst
GA: 18th worst
FL: 25th worst
CA: 30th worst
TX: 38th wors
Nuname wrote:
brazen2 wrote:
67 (not 57) deaths reported on the day this thread was created 50 days ago.
81 deaths reported in the last 7 days.
No spike yet. But there is always a possibility.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
The originator of the thread -- who was pushing the spike it happening story -- stated the deaths as 57. Safe to say that was the count at that time.
Looking at the stats now (worldometers.info) the daily deaths in Georgia on that day us now 78.
Somehow 21 extra folks got added.
On 7/9, the number was 8.
Safe to say that 5/21 was not the start of any kind of spike
Screenshots from the GADPH website on 5/21 and 5/20 have a net gain of 67 deaths reported.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
GA experienced an early hotspot at the same time NYC did due to a "super-spreader event", a fiuneral on Feb 29th that ultimately lead to 24 deaths. So their government saw first hand how bad an outbreak could be. The local hospital was so overwhelmed, at one point it had to transfer out 40% of all patients.
It's like all the other states thought what happened in NYC couldn't happen to them.
So f'ing dumb. This country is overflowing with stupid.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/30/us/coronavirus-funeral-albany-georgia.html
18-29 group leads the rise in cases again in today's data:
25% of new cases (lower than recent days)
10% of new hospitalizations
0% of new deaths
70+ still most vulnerable:
6% of new cases
24% of new hospitalizations
60% of new deaths
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
Georgia is a good example of the non-linear relationship between infection rates and mortality. The 67/57 observed on the first day of this thread was a one day anomaly. But the assumption was that reopening would result in near simultaneous disaster. When nothing happened the first few weeks of reopening, people assumed that it was safe and that may have been the seeds of the disaster. Also, it takes time for the infection to spread enough to cause exponential growth in positive cases.
Georgia is behind TX, FL, AZ, but not too far off and on a trajectory to catch up in a week or two. Worldometer is showing 4,484 today. I am not sure how they get that number as GA does not release their numbers for about two weeks. But the worldometer numbers do seem to line up with what GA official numbers report. Hospitals are filling up quickly. You would think that Georgia would learn a lesson from AZ, TX, etc. and shut things down, but they are just going to try to ride it out.
agip wrote:
Anyone want to answer the below question?:
Why has GA been managing its plague well while it's raging out of control in TX AZ CA FL?
Although to be fair, GA has a higher than average per capita death rate than those states.
Ranked in the US:
AZ: 16th worst
GA: 18th worst
FL: 25th worst
CA: 30th worst
TX: 38th wors
I can only make a few guesses.
Guess #1: Luck. We've just been lucky.
Guess #2: Most of our worst outbreaks have been in rural areas that are less populated. That kind of goes along with #1.
Guess #3: We haven't really done any better but we just got infected later. In other words, this won't last and our rankings are going to get worse soon. 4484 new cases were reported today, which is another huge record. The 7 day average is up to almost 3000 per day.
Guess #4: Georgians have actually been more careful than folks in AZ, TX, CA, and FL.
brazen2 wrote:
brazen2 wrote:
67 (not 57) deaths reported on the day this thread was created 50 days ago.
81 deaths reported in the last 7 days.
No spike yet. But there is always a possibility.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
35 deaths reported today. Could this be it?
Most likely not. But keep your hopes up and maybe it will be!
Precious Roy wrote:
Georgia is a good example of the non-linear relationship between infection rates and mortality. The 67/57 observed on the first day of this thread was a one day anomaly. But the assumption was that reopening would result in near simultaneous disaster. When nothing happened the first few weeks of reopening, people assumed that it was safe and that may have been the seeds of the disaster. Also, it takes time for the infection to spread enough to cause exponential growth in positive cases.
Georgia is behind TX, FL, AZ, but not too far off and on a trajectory to catch up in a week or two. Worldometer is showing 4,484 today. I am not sure how they get that number as GA does not release their numbers for about two weeks. But the worldometer numbers do seem to line up with what GA official numbers report. Hospitals are filling up quickly. You would think that Georgia would learn a lesson from AZ, TX, etc. and shut things down, but they are just going to try to ride it out.
https://twitter.com/_stah/status/1281519499540340742https://www.11alive.com/video/news/health/coronavirus/coronavirus-in-georgia-new-record-hospitalizations/85-b7c1ec58-6470-414b-94e8-bc283849b74c
I agree with what you said above and I might be able to shed some light on the how the numbers are reported in Georgia.
Wordometer gets its numbers from the Georgia Department of Public Health. So they are indeed the same numbers.
As I understand it, Georgia takes all the cases from various sources throughout the state and puts them in the system. Each day at about 2:50pm, they report the number of cases they received in the last 24 hours. But that includes cases from rapid tests, tests that took days to process, delays in reporting, etc. It's just, "Here are the cases we found out about today."
I think where you are getting the "two weeks" thing is from their graph. That graph shows cases based on the date of first symptoms for each case. If that date is not available then they use the date of testing. If that date is not available, they fall back to the date it was reported.
So what you have with the GDPH graph is the best possible view of how much the virus has been spreading over time. It's much better than the graph that Worldometer shows.
But they warn that because of all the aforementioned delays, the data is considered incomplete for the latest 14 days. So if you want an idea of what has been happening in the very recent past, the 7-day average on Worldometer is probably your best bet.
Georgia has had a 245% increase in cases, very big, but small in comparison to Florida's 1345%. Florida's increase is actually even greater now with over 11,000 new cases today already. As for Georgia, the urban areas of the state had already been hit fairly hard, which is why they did not triple with re-opening, yet. Florida had not been hit very hard but now is well on the way to over 100 deaths per day, and will therefore double its death toll in the next month. The U.S. is getting over 60k new cases per day, about twice at the worst. Death toll has already grown fourfold from the lowest total. It will grow a lot more. But better treatment and a younger case base mean the death toll won't be as bad relative to cases.
agip wrote:
Why has GA been managing its plague well while it's raging out of control in TX AZ CA FL?
1) Early on GA did a good job protecting nursing homes. A lot better than places in the NE.
2) When GA first announced that anyone could get tested, regardless of symptoms, a lot of people took advantage of this. It caught a lot of asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic people from spreading COVID. Then the "just the flu"-bros became more vocal and widespread. And said testing (mask, social distancing, etc.) wasn't needed and didn't act. If you're getting tested because you have symptoms, it's most likely too late. If you're not wearing a mask because you don't have symptoms, you're not helping.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
brazen2 wrote:
agip wrote:
Why has GA been managing its plague well while it's raging out of control in TX AZ CA FL?
1) Early on GA did a good job protecting nursing homes. A lot better than places in the NE.
2) When GA first announced that anyone could get tested, regardless of symptoms, a lot of people took advantage of this. It caught a lot of asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic people from spreading COVID. Then the "just the flu"-bros became more vocal and widespread. And said testing (mask, social distancing, etc.) wasn't needed and didn't act. If you're getting tested because you have symptoms, it's most likely too late. If you're not wearing a mask because you don't have symptoms, you're not helping.
Wear a mask
Social distance
Wash your hands
GET TESTED
It's possible that the "anyone can get tested" campaign had an effect. That's a good observation.
It's not because random testing will do much good. It won't. But it was good that people knew testing was widely available so that if someone suspected they were positive they knew they could get tested for free.
Now surely you weren't telling us that people with symptoms should not get tested! If you have symptoms it's definitely not too late to be tested. You still need to know if you are positive in order to facilitate treatment and isolation protocols. And it's also never too late to do some contact tracing once you know you are positive.
And please don't get tested just because it's available. Random testing wastes resources that we desperately need right now. Only get tested if you have reason to believe that you have been exposed.
But if you really want to do some good, STAY HOME!!!
The best way to keep COVID from spreading is to not go out in the first place.
Mayor Bottoms just put a new stay at home order in place for Atlanta.
Go Keisha!
[quote]brazen2 wrote:
Screenshots from the GADPH website on 5/21 and 5/20 have a net gain of 67 deaths reported.
78 now for 5/21.
Why do you suppose the OP said 57? He is on the side of the view a spike is occuring
Fat hurts wrote:
But if you really want to do some good, STAY HOME!!!
The best way to keep COVID from spreading is to not go out in the first place.
Great idea.
Let's all just stay in and watch and order stuff online and communicate solely via electronics.
What life was meant to be