With NESCAC's going off in less than 168 hours, let's take a look at how the race will play out.
1st: Williams. As they've shown the past few years, they run too well this time of year to be taken down. Add that to the momentum gained from an upset (lol at actually typing that) victory at Little 3's, and the Ephs have a guaranteed victory. While they won't repeat their 1-3-4 finish from a year ago, expect them to put 5 in the top 20. (58 points)
2nd: Amherst. The Lord Jeffs have had a very strong start to the season. They beat Williams at Purple Valley, but seem to have regressed a bit in their past few outings. Will they follow the typical Amherst track as the Championship season arrives? I say no. However, Purple Valley will be their peak for the season- they won't reign supreme as the top Cac team from here on out. Having the winner and another top 5-10 guy certainly helps at a meet like this, but they'll need just a bit more. (63 points)
3rd: Tufts. They'll be way back from the top 2, but with O'Connor leading the charge and Nichols rounding into form, Tufts provides too much front-running for the other teams to handle. Similar to above, the 3-5 needs to show up. Their X-factors have shown potential in track, so this could be a meet where the Jumbos surprise some folks. Not me though- I'm guaranteeing a Jumbo bronze. (Points from here on out are so far from the top that I won't even bother calculating).
4th: Bates. A very solid pack with a small spread. Pair that with no low sticks, and that, my friends, is how you cap your ceiling at 4th place. Unless someone breaks out, I do not see them doing much damage. Honestly, I'm nervous even putting them above 5th place because, let's face it, John Stansel's not walking through that door. Tully Hannan could be another story. For that reason, I give them 4th.
5th: Wesleyan. My least confident pick. Could be 3rd, could be 8th depending on the day. Despite the home course advantage, I just can't put confidence in a team that dropped the ball like they did at Little 3's. Which team shows up in Middletown on Halloween? Depending on how it goes for them, things could get scary.
6th: Middlebury. History tells me they'll be top 4, AT LEAST top 5; that's why I'm Pre-Med. Too much racing. Is that Outdoor Track approaching? I can already smell the Midd boys' burnout from here. Turn back the Klockenkamper. Prove me wrong.
7th: Colby. If Chelimo is out, so are their hopes for a respectable finish. Silas Beastman will do his usual thing, but there are no one man shows in NESCAC XC. Not even Like Meduc could carry his team to a top 7 finish at Conference champs. Luckily for these guys, the Cac is in the gutter this year.
8th: Bowdoin. Typically run tough late in the season. I think they'll have their best race of the year. Unfortunately, this won't really amount to much in the grand scheme.
9th: Conn. Ran well at their home course last week, yet have been frail otherwise. Bosworth is poised to run well, but only if he decides to tempo the course. If he races, things may not go as the Camels had hoped for.
10th: Trinity. Hoagland has found his Indoor Track form again. Best kick in the Cac (Tufts Last Chance anyone?) and a strong base. Top 5 is in the works. His team, however, will be lucky to crack the Top 10.
11th: Hamilton. Do they have a team this year?
Let me know what yall think for individuals.