Oh Please wrote:
You said it yourself...he did 6:30 pace to start. That doesn't mean he was in "3:24 shape." If he went out say 7 flat, then he might have found that he was in the 305 to 310 shape, and from there, not so bad to get to sub 3.
Well, his finishing time was 3:24, so you can't really call him anything other than a 3:24 guy today.
Clearly he has the dedication to break 3. But anyone can run 6:30 pace for 6 miles. After the first 10k his pace fell off a cliff and it continued till the end of the race.
Are you saying he could have run 3:20 with better pacing, or 3:18? Maybe, but the time is the time is the time. He's got some work to do before he can sneak under 3, but I wish him nothing but the best.