How long until the Olympics get cancelled?

In Recovery wrote:

I hope that the OG are canceled..too much hype too much money too much heat and humidity.

And like that of the athletes you’re supposedly a fan of, I hope your source of income is cancelled as well.

Renato Canova wrote:

I have the info that during the next 3 days Kenya will give a rule prohibiting the athletes to run in groups, and really I can't imagine how that rule can be applied, knowing, for example, the behavior of athletes in Iten.

There is also the problem of mandatory in-competition testing for Kenyan athletes as a condition of their admission to the Games. If much of the season is cancelled before the Olympics, it's going to be difficult to see how Kenyan athletes will be able to undergo the required number of tests, especially as even last season several couldn't manage it in time for Doha.

Coevett, you are really obsessed by Kenyans.

In a very bad situation like the one we are living, do you think the lack of tests for Kenyan athletes can be an important problem ?

For your knowledge, from next week kenyan runners are no longer allowed to run in group, and can train running alone only. Speaking of "par conditions", this is a problem, for Kenyan athletes, very much important than the lack of tests (that in any case at the moment can continue, because all the decisions of Kenya Government are for prevention, not because already the virus is there).

I think it will get cancelled, and actually I hope it... An event like that can be the cause of many many infections, better to avoid this and think about everyone's lives!

Renato Canova wrote:

Coevett, you are really obsessed by Kenyans.

In a very bad situation like the one we are living, do you think the lack of tests for Kenyan athletes can be an important problem ?

Well this is a thread discussing whether the Olympic Games will go ahead. You've already contributed several posts to it. There are still many inane posts littering the front page of this forum, surely a question about the Olympic Games is valid on a running site?

The question of mandatory in-competition testing for Kenyan athletes is important in that unless they change the rules, it will mean that the Kenyan teams (and Ethiopian, Moroccan, Ukrainian) will be decimated.

You yourself stated that you think the Olympics wont happen because athletes can't train etc. Well, I'm just adding that it might also not happen because Kenyans and Ethiopians - who make up the bulk of the medal winners in the non-sprint track events - might not be able to get there at all.

I’d love to see the Thursday Iten fartlek with 400+ guys hauling äss but in single file 6 feet behind one another.

Jogger Hobby wrote:

Actually, you are very uneducated. In the southern Hemisphere it is currently late summer. No case of Corona. So we already have the answer.

I will respond to your obvious troll post as it will probably be the highlight of your pathetic day.

Check out the location of the following countries and their corresponding number of Covid-19 cases: Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Congo, Maldives, Namibia, New Zealand, Paraguay, Peru, Rwanda, South Africa, Uruguay,

Thank you. Jogger Hobby is a pathetic troll or a moronic idiot like Trump. This virus is not just immune from the heat I actually hear from a doc friend at CDC that it will be much stronger in the fall. We can wish it away but it won't work. Some can try thoughts and prayers but it only seems to make it worse. Better to follow strict lock down standards and bailout all those impacted financially and put the top scientists on the job 24/7 and pay them well with taxes from the corporate jet set that got the $2 trillion tax savings 27 months ago as they stand to lose more without the relief.

With little testing and little effort in too many states and obviously from the White House this is going to be much worse in US than in rest of world where its already bad.

Japan is trying to not test so they can try to avoid losing the Games but their thoughts and prayers will be exposed soon for the true coverup they are trying to pull by limited testing and identification of the true pandemic in Japan.

Body condoms?

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/weird-news/man-selling-body-condom-facebook-9771844.amp

Coevett wrote:

Maybe something in wearing face masks after all?

Or maybe there's something to having armed military in the streets preventing people from coming out of their homes.

Coevett wrote:

There is also the problem of mandatory in-competition testing for Kenyan athletes as a condition of their admission to the Games. If much of the season is cancelled before the Olympics, it's going to be difficult to see how Kenyan athletes will be able to undergo the required number of tests, especially as even last season several couldn't manage it in time for Doha.

Has nothing to do with the season, because the tests have to be OOC. So as long as Kenyan NADA still works, they will get their tests.

Kenyan in Kairo wrote:

Has nothing to do with the season, because the tests have to be OOC. So as long as Kenyan NADA still works, they will get their tests.

Well I don't understand that. Two 5K runners had to miss Doha last year because they didn't have enough races to meet the requirement for in-competition tests. I can't see it being any easier this year if there's NO track meets before the Olympics.

Further, Kenya is a Class 'A' country under the doping rules, meaning our athletes must undertake a certain number of in-competition and out-of-competition doping tests.

With the lack of organised races, will our athletes meet the World Anti-Doping Agency requirements and qualify for the Olympics and other races? Will the rules be suspended?

It should already be postponed. It's only a matter of time.

How does the ranking system fucking work if you can't run enough events to get onto the system.

The whole Q system is ruined.

Those who were waiting for spring marathons to qualify cannot do so either.

Renato, you're totally correct when you say that the Italian situation anticipates what we will see in other western countries. I am also in Europe and we're in a similar position where Italy was a few weeks ago. Scientists indicate a peak end of March in Italy and perhaps mid-April elsewhere in Europe / US, maybe a bit longer in Latin America. No doubt this will have a substancial impact on the qualifications and ultimately impact the Games. But the situation is now under control in China and South Korea at least (in Japan ironically there's seems to be more uncertainty on what's going on at the moment than in China). It is hard to see it now because we are in the peak of the crisis but the reality is in two-months time the situation tends to be under control. The job of the IOC and Japanese Officials will then be to convince public opinion that the Games in July represent a great opportunity of hope and uniting the world once again. And they are very good on doing that and exploring the Olympic brand in its strenght. I don't want to be arrogant and admit that I can be wrong, nobody can predict the outcome of this or even that it will be the same as it has been in China. But I still doubt the Games will be cancelled or postponed. At best, the IOC will admit the possibility of postponing to gain public opinion and ask for more time. They will come up with a mitigation plan for the qualifications in the meantime. And when the storm diminishes, it will be clear to everyone that the Games will go on. Mark my words...

olympic insider wrote:

Renato, you're totally correct when you say that the Italian situation anticipates what we will see in other western countries. I am also in Europe and we're in a similar position where Italy was a few weeks ago. Scientists indicate a peak end of March in Italy and perhaps mid-April elsewhere in Europe / US, maybe a bit longer in Latin America.

What are you talking about. The peak is predicted to be in June in the UK - which will have a similar timeline to the rest of Europe. Other countries are slowly becoming infected as of now. This will be an ongoing issue all year /until there is a vaccine.

It is utter madness that the Olympics are not even being considered to be postponed by the IOC. Their comments in public are a fucking disgrace to what is - an aging Tokyo population that is at most risk.

sky wrote:

Postpone the O Games until 2022.

Move Paris and L.A. back to 2026 and 2030, respectively.

This is the painful, but correct solution.

If the Olympics are cancelled this year, Just skip it, the World Championships are in Eugene, Oregon Next Year, And in Track and Field The World Championships and Olympics are basically the same thing, Up to 3 per Country in both (Worlds has a Wildcard, so you can have up to 4 in an event, if you have an athlete who meets the criteria), after that Go with the same Schedule, Paris in 2024, Los Angeles in 2028, and because Tokyo missed out in 2020, give them the 2032 Olympics. Then everyone is happy.

This is not accurate. Plenty of sources mention Mid to Late April. Here below is one for the US, which is behind Europe in the spread of the Virus.

UK is also at least two weeks behind the most impacted European countries which are Italy, France, Germany and Spain. UK is just announcing important measures to contain the virus when the numbers are still relatively low to when similar measures were announced in these other countries.

I agree with you that the IOC's statements so far have been disconnected to reality. They should and will make more realistic statements, but I doubt they will cancel or postpone the Games. It is simply to early when there's evidence that the virus can spread quickly e.g. China and South Korea.

US peak late april:

typo above - you should read "when there's evidence that the virus spreading can FADE quickly e.g. China and South Korea"