I didn't have much time last night, but here's the schools I looked at so far. I should have more time tonight. This is not to suggest these are the top 5 teams in the state. Cathedral and Redlands East aren't top 5 teams for sure. Just getting the ball rolling.
If anyone has insider info I'll take it into consideration.
School - Name - Grade - 2019 3 Mile PR Estimate - 2019 Woodward Park Estimate
Great Oak Mateo Joseph 11 14:15 15:07
Great Oak Cole Sawires-Yager 12 14:28 15:21
Great Oak Chris Verdugo 12 14:30 15:25
Great Oak Gabriel Abbes 12 14:30 15:25
Great Oak John Worthy 11 14:33 15:29
Great Oak Kyle Reden 11 14:46 15:46
Great Oak Aric Reza 12 14:50 15:50
Great Oak Joshua Abrenica 12 14:53 15:53
Great Oak Parker Smith 12 14:55 15:55
Great Oak Micah Baird 12 14:57 15:58
Great Oak Austin Montez 11 14:58 15:59
I don't see Great Oak boys being beaten by anyone in CA. Anybody know why Mateo Joseph didn't run track?
Newbury Park Nico Young 12 13:37 14:26
Newbury Park Jace Aschbrenner 12 14:07 14:57
Newbury Park Colin Sahlman 10 14:29 15:23
Newbury Park Nicholas Goldstein 11 14:44 15:42
Newbury Park Daniel Appleford 10 14:55 15:55
Newbury Park Zaki Blunt 10 15:06 16:08
Newbury Park Oliver Hughes 10 15:17 16:22
Newbury Park Benjamin Kohlhepp 11 15:18 16:23
Newbury Park Thomas McDonnell 11 15:29 16:36
Newbury Park Daniel Mackay 12 15:40 16:50
Nico Young could go nuts and take down German Fernandez' Woodward Park course record, although it feels blasphemous to even suggest it. He reminds me of Ritz physically so I could see him doing something very special this season. Sahlman is going to be a monster eventually, although I'm not expecting it until next season. Look for him to be the best one of the best sophomores in the country.
Claremont Jack Lansford 11 14:30 15:25
Claremont Adam Trafecanty 12 14:39 15:37
Claremont Yoon Cho 12 14:52 15:51
Claremont Jaden Clark 12 14:54 15:54
Claremont Diego Denson 12 14:56 15:57
Claremont Blake Bertrand 12 15:13 16:17
Claremont Askari Ahad 11 15:15 16:20
Claremont James Settles 12 15:17 16:22
Claremont will likely end up on the D2 podium, but I don't see them threatening Newbury Park seriously. I think they have a tendency to focus on the longer stuff and thus do better in XC than track.
Cathedral Tyriq Granillo 12 14:47 15:46
Cathedral Gabriel Galaz 12 15:10 16:13
Cathedral Bryce Granillo 11 15:15 16:19
Cathedral Julian Umana 10 15:19 16:25
Cathedral Juan Sanchez 11 15:20 16:26
Cathedral Andrew Cantu 12 15:30 16:37
Cathedral John Boring 10 15:50 17:00
Cathedral had a pretty horrible track campaign. The younger Granillo didn't run track (maybe he does other sports?) at all so he's a question mark as I have no insider info on any of these teams. The older Granillo didn't have a great track season, but maybe he'll be motivated and prove my estimates wrong. Tyriq is a big talent, but seems burned out as many age-groupers tend to be after so many years of running.
Redlands East Matthew Casillas 12 14:31 15:27
Redlands East Simon Opsahl 11 14:46 15:45
Redlands East Alexander Miller 10 14:54 15:54
Redlands East Matthew Hornung 11 15:10 16:13
Redlands East Cole Cooper 12 15:15 16:19
Redlands East Liam Mapes 11 15:30 16:37
Redlands East Anthony Ramos 11 16:00 17:12
These guys had a rough track season, but should still be solid. Based on genetics alone, Opsahl could breakout anytime, but it just hasn't happened yet.