NIRCA XC 2019 thread

bias here but obliviously, Cincinnati. Heard the club has been putting in the miles and upped keystone light consumption

That was a tremendous description of NIRCA. A+.

Michigan returning a decent amount of their runners while also logging plenty of miles over the summer makes me think a repeat is in the cards for them.

lol ok

CPDC no cap

cal poly looking strong after 2nd last year

goodguygerald wrote:

CPDC no cap

Team no cap

What teams do you think will win each region?

Based off of no actual data and just my intuition, here's who I have:

Northeast: Binghamton

Mid-Atlantic: Princeton

Southeast: UNC

Great Lakes: Michigan

Great Plains: Illinois

Heartland: Colorado

Pacific: Cal Poly

Am I overlooking any fast teams?

Could the meet champs win D3?

Baby Nationals wrote:

Could the meet champs win D3?

No, but the top 10 could beat 98% of all D3 schools. North Central usually has a few guys in the low 23s and a pack of sub 25 guys. However, I do think there are a few NIRCA teams that could break up their top 5. In someways, NIRCA is more competitive than D2 (larger schools, grad students with no NCAA eligibility, etc.), but in other ways it still isn't quite to D3's level at the top.

Penn State is looking scary in the Mid-Atlantic but don’t count out the Terps. 2 guys sub 26 at Paul Short with the next 3 all under 26:30. A fast meet like Richmond is right up Maryland’s alley. Princeton and UVA are perennials but without knowing much about them this year they don’t look quite as deep as in years past.

Send Testudes wrote:

Penn State is looking scary in the Mid-Atlantic but don’t count out the Terps. 2 guys sub 26 at Paul Short with the next 3 all under 26:30. A fast meet like Richmond is right up Maryland’s alley. Princeton and UVA are perennials but without knowing much about them this year they don’t look quite as deep as in years past.

You sure Maryland had 2 sub 26? I know the results got messed up because the timing system went down mid-race, but Maryland's 2nd had 26:09 in the results and their 5th was 26:41. It looks like Penn State had 3 under 26 and a host of guys not too far behind. Should be a good battle at regionals, but not sure where those numbers are coming from.

Looking at this years results and past nationals results these are my mid season Nirca rankings:

1. Michigan

2. Purdue

3. UC Davis

4. Penn State

5. Indiana

6. Cal Poly

7. Maryland

8. Illinois

9. Oregon

10. Michigan State

Bubble Teams: Wisconsin, Princeton, Northeastern, NC State, Virginia Tech

Michigan looks like a very strong favorite so far but 2-9 seem pretty bunched up. On a good day I could see any of the top 9 making the podium. I’ll post my next rankings before regionals and then again before Nationals.

Do you know where UC Davis has raced so far? The only meet I could find, the results weren't particularly impressive. (

http://www.rtspt.com/events/SacSt/cxc19/mp/#event18

) Nathan Kwan absolutely destroyed the field with a sub 24, but he was with UCD CLUB and not UC Davis XC & Track Club. Does anyone know if he graduated? It's hard to predict what grad students are done.

Obviously NIRCA predictions mean basically nothing until Regionals, but so far a lot of teams are showing big potential. Should be a fast national championship!

nircamang wrote:

Do you know where UC Davis has raced so far? The only meet I could find, the results weren't particularly impressive. (

http://www.rtspt.com/events/SacSt/cxc19/mp/#event18

) Nathan Kwan absolutely destroyed the field with a sub 24, but he was with UCD CLUB and not UC Davis XC & Track Club. Does anyone know if he graduated? It's hard to predict what grad students are done.

Obviously NIRCA predictions mean basically nothing until Regionals, but so far a lot of teams are showing big potential. Should be a fast national championship!

Kwan is done, no longer a full-time student. Defending individual champ Horvath will not be in the mix either as he's battling an Achilles injury.

CPDC NO FUKIN CAP FAM

Next 48 hours are gonna be interesting to see who from the Northeast/MidAtlantic/Southeast are gonna to be competitive. 2 fast races in the Princeton Invite and the Cavalier Invitational. Many questions will be answered. Is UMD legit? Which Virginia School is superior? (Im taking the dark horse VCU over UVA and VT but thats just me) Will Princeton dominate on their home course and prove to be a challenge to Penn State? Is Penn State not running this weekend cause College Gameday is in town for PSU vs Michigan? Why does Robert Morris think they can compete with D3 and D2 schools when their #5 runs over 40 minutes? Big weekend for the sport

Out to pasture wrote:

That was a tremendous description of NIRCA. A+.

+1

Looks like University of Delaware Club team has a a 25 guy and a bunch of 27 guys to round out top 5, Might expect a sub 25 and 1-2 sub 27s along with some 27s at Princeton's quick course this weekend. UD hasn't been the best since their first year on the club scene but they have a decent team culture recently which will produce some quick results.

-RS

Regionals start tomorrow so here’s my pre-regional NIRCA rankings:

1. Michigan

2. Purdue

3. Penn St

4. Cal Poly

5. Maryland

6. Illinois

7. Michigan St

8. UC Davis

9. Princeton

10. Oregon

Bubble teams: Virginia, Virginia Tech, Northeastern, Minnesota, Indiana

Michigan looks poised to repeat. They’ve beaten Purdue and Michigan St already this year. They should be considered the heavy favorites. On their best day, Purdue, Penn St or Cal Poly could upset Michigan but it seems unlikely. A poster above said that UC Davis won’t have Kwan or Horvath which probably ends their title hopes but I still expect them to have a top 10 team. The Mid-Atlantic region looks like the most competitive in the country this year. They could get 5 teams in the top 10 at nationals. Should be a great race this weekend in Maryland. I expect the rankings to change quite a bit after regionals. I’ll post my next rankings before nationals.