How much are you betting on the Patriots to lose SB53 (LIII)?

Always a-nother sucka borne ev'ry minute.

Take the Pats, I guarantee it.

Over/under is where the smart money (always) is.

The American Gaming Association estimates Americans will bet approximately $6 billion on Super Bowl LIII.

That figure is well above last year's figure of $4.76 billion the AGA estimated was bet on the Big Game a year ago. Last year the AGA estimated about 97 percent of the money wagered was done so illegally, and it is safe to say most of that $6B figure is comprised by illegal bets as well.

Last year more money was wagered on the Super Bowl in Nevada sportbooks than ever before, with the total handle exceeding $158.5 million.

https://www.americangaming.org/new/americans-will-wager-6-billion-on-super-bowl-liii/

0. Never bet against a team you hate. It's like double losing if they win and you'll be plenty happy if they lose, no need for $$ on the line.

Yesterday Mr. X placed a $300,000, a $1.5 million, and a $2 million bet - all favoring the Rams.

Mr. X won $22 million last year with his various bets favoring Philly.

True - always smart to do an emotional hedge (if you win the bet you are sad "your" team lost; lose the bet you are consoled by your team's victory).

1/ Per @MGMRaceSports @scottatmirage on NE-LAR #SuperBowl: "First and foremost, we are so lucky we took that $2 million bet from Bettor X. When he made that bet, the Rams were +120 on the moneyline. Now, they’re +125."

2/ Per @MGMRaceSports @scottatmirage on NE-LAR #SuperBowl: "Patriots money coming in is just unbelievable. Since Friday night, the Patriots’ moneyline had 3 different customers bet combined $1.9 million, and one of those bettors forked out another $220K on Patriots -2.5.” @Covers

3/ Per @MGMRaceSports @scottatmirage on #SuperBowl: MGM books still at Patriots -2.5. Moneyline ticked back to Pats -140/Rams +120 overnight. “On Saturday morning, we were winner no matter what. Now, we’re significant loser to Patriots. Pats/Over is worst-case scenario.” @Covers

4/ Per @MGMRaceSports @scottatmirage on #SuperBowl: “We’re rooting for the $2 million bettor to win. That’s better than Patriots covering. If Pats win by 1 or 2, it could be our best Super Bowl ever. It has that potential. But if Bettor X wins, we’re fine with that, too.” @Covers

Roxy Roxborough @RoxyLasVegas

Super Bowl best of all worlds. East Coast street bookies at Pats -3. Offshore moneyline as low as -123. Bet Rams or Pats or both.

This is a great country.

I am betting a co-worker a large pizza with the works. I have the Rams + 6.5

The betting line has settled with the Patriots a -2.5-point favorite over the Rams at sportsbooks across Nevada and New Jersey. William Hill and Golden Nugget were showing a line of -3 until Friday afternoon when both moved back to -2.5. Major offshore sportsbook BookMaker has moved to Patriots -2 along with Wynn Las Vegas. The game opened pick 'em at many locations but an avalanche of early bets on the Patriots moved the line up to -2.5. The over/under or total on the game is 56.5, and the moneyline is Patriots -140 and Rams +120 at a majority of sportsbooks. Now nearing 24 hours before kickoff and the Patriots have taken 75% of the spread bets according to SportsInsights and their reporting from a consensus of seven leading online sportsbooks.

The MGM and their affiliate properties report that 66% of the spread bets are on the Patriots and 71% of the moneyline wagers are on the Rams as of late Friday.

Based on the playoff odds simulation equation, which itself is based on weighted DVOA, the Patriots have a 50.1 percent chance to win this game.

The best online sportsbooks are hanging odds of +700 on the Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl a year from now.

It’s not mere coincidence that LA is tied with the Patriots as the top choice to win again in the 2019 season ...

Easier to "fix" the penalty calling wrote:

Over/under is where the smart money (always) is.

It was a bad bet. The Patriots going to win. They already beat KC, the best team in the league. Everyone wants to bet against the favorite. They're going to lose a lot of money.

I think by far the best bet was -1400 on the Rams not winning every quarter.

Yep, big win for Vegas on the Under wrote:

Easier to "fix" the penalty calling wrote:

Over/under is where the smart money (always) is.

https://twitter.com/Covers/status/1092118876354015234

WAY, WAY Under Wins

And history of how wrong the +/- ever was